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Comment author: Seth_Goldin 08 September 2016 04:46:54PM 2 points [-]

For those interested, Netflix has a new documentary out about the case: https://youtu.be/9r8LG_lCbac

Comment author: Seth_Goldin 11 May 2011 02:18:24AM 0 points [-]

I'm going to try to make it.

Comment author: Seth_Goldin 04 May 2011 02:24:39AM 0 points [-]

Sorry I missed this. I'll try to attend the next one. I suggest Capital City Brewery at Metro Center.

Comment author: Seth_Goldin 27 October 2010 04:56:32PM 3 points [-]

I recommend a related essay by Hayek, "Competition as a Discovery Procedure."

Comment author: Perplexed 17 September 2010 01:00:34AM 0 points [-]

There are a (pretty common) class of reasoning problems for which equals(correct reasoning, Bayesian inference) is widely believed here in LW. There are other problems and other forms of correct reasoning for which Bayesian inference is simply inapplicable.

For example, the following syllogism cannot be completed by Bayesian inference.

A. Nothing is better than total happiness.

B. A paper clip is better than nothing.

C. ???

Comment author: Seth_Goldin 19 September 2010 02:04:48PM 2 points [-]

This is a fallacious amphiboly, so it's deductively wrong. There's no need to even bring up induction here, and Bayesian inference is for induction. It's a category error to criticize that Bayesian inference doesn't apply. It would be like asking Bayesian inference to cook me dinner.

Comment author: Seth_Goldin 06 September 2010 03:49:17PM 0 points [-]

David Friedman laments another misuse of frequentism.

Comment author: Seth_Goldin 11 June 2010 03:03:19AM 4 points [-]

I know this is an old thread, but for any people just now reading it, I thought I'd pass along this bizarre development.

Comment author: Seth_Goldin 03 June 2010 03:40:44AM *  16 points [-]

There is no such thing as absolute certainty, but there is assurance sufficient for the purposes of human life.

John Stuart Mill, On Liberty

He seems to have understood that 0 and 1 are not probabilities.

Comment author: SilasBarta 02 June 2010 10:11:50PM *  4 points [-]

Thought I might pass this along and file it under "failure of rationality". Sadly, this kind of thing is increasingly common -- getting deep in education debt, but not having increased earning power to service the debt, even with a degree from a respected university.

Summary: Cortney Munna, 26, went $100K into debt to get worthless degrees and is deferring payment even longer, making interest pile up further. She works in an unrelated area (photography) for $22/hour, and it doesn't sound like she has a lot of job security.

We don't find out until the end of the article that her degrees are in women's studies and religious studies.

There are much better ways to spend $100K. Twentysomethings like her are filling up the workforce. I'm worried about the future implications.

I thank my lucky stars I'm not in such a position (in the respects listed in the article -- Munna's probably better off in other respects). I didn't handle college planning as well as I could have, and I regret it to this day. But at least I didn't go deep into debt for a worthless degree.

Comment author: Seth_Goldin 03 June 2010 12:23:49AM 1 point [-]

Arnold Kling has some thoughts about the plight of the unskilled college grad.

1 2

Comment author: Daniel_Burfoot 02 June 2010 09:01:01PM 2 points [-]

I would like to see a top-level link post and discussion of this article (and maybe other related papers).

Comment author: Seth_Goldin 02 June 2010 10:49:05PM 0 points [-]

Yeah, that would be great, but I can't do it; I don't have the technical background, so I hereby delegate the task to someone else willing to write it up.

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