The very basics of probability. I'm talking to the level of "there is about a 1 in 6 chance of a reasonably fair dice coming up 3 on a single roll"
I remember a friend telling me about a game some of his classmates played which was basically about calling high/low on the next card dealt.
He'd made a modest and steady income simply calling based on whether it was greater or less than 7 for the first few cards and he was known as being "lucky". They honestly couldn't comprehend something as simple as that.
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Happens to be true for sampling from a finite set without replacement :-P
You got me ;-) I should have specified "at the roulette".....I'm new here, still have to get used to you guys