Really fantastic idea. I would suggest adding a way to tag predictions so that you can see how accurate you are within a particular domain. I would also suggest adding a way to see your accuracy over different timeframes (in order to view improvement). With those two features, this would definitely be an app I'd be willing to buy.

Where do you live, Snorri? I'm interested in this as well.

Ah, yes that's much better isn't it. Am I allowed to change this? Sorry for being such a flagrant newcomer; it seems like I really need to tighten up my language.

EDIT: I've given it some thought and I think it has something to do with being active on Reddit, where there's lots of incentive to sensationalize your posts. I will be mindful of this going forward.

People, when predicting their own future outcomes, tend to give far too much weight to their intentions, goals, plans, desires, etc., and far to little consideration to the way things have turned out for them in the past.

I'm often curious about why we evolved in such a haphazard way. Sure, evolution gets stuck on local optima all the time, but this seems to imply that realistically modelling your peers and unrealistically modelling yourself has some sort of fitness payoff.

One day I realized that having patience and focusing on gradual improvement rather than quick fixes was necessary for deeply ingrained problems (like forms of akrasia).

Some others:

1. Taking breaks is not negotiable.

2. Maintaining social contact with someone is your responsibility, not theirs.

3. If you try to have too much control in your life, you'll become brittle and unable to handle unexpected changes.

4. "Willpower" is basically worthless. The best productivity strategy is to make productivity habitual.

   4.5. You spend the vast majority of your waking day completely unconscious, doing whatever you're habitually used to doing.

5. Adopting political labels is a negative sum game.

Economics:

• "Dirty medicine"
• Peak scientist
• "Slippery Business: The trade in adulterated olive oil"
• "The Industrial Revolution: Past and Future" (Lucas on the Great Divergence, economic growth, the Asian miracles, and redistributionism.)
• "Of Frightened Horses and Autonomous Vehicles: Tort Law and its Assimilation of Innovations", Graham 2012 (excerpts)
• "Beware the Middleman: Empirical Analysis of Bitcoin-Exchange Risk", Moore & Christin 2013 (excerpts)
• NASHX
• "Love, luck and destiny: the world according to a Mumbai matriarch"
• "Bacon: Why America's Favorite Food Mania Happened"
• "Nowhere is safe in EVE Online as Goonswarm suicide-bombs galactic trade hub" (shades of Eurisko)
• the Currin Trading Ponzi: part 1, part 2
• "When Korea's E-Sports was at the Brink of Death"
• "Google's Lost Social Network" (exit, voice, and loyalty)
• Obsolete occupations: breaker boy, crossing sweeper, dog whipper
• Old Economy Steven

Philosophy:

• "Why Did why the lucky stiff Quit? ...or, is this time well spent?"
• Wrongful life
• "The Wish Never to Have Been Born", Cavan 1932 (excerpts)
• "Newtonian Ethics"

Thanks for the link.

I've been studying neural networks for a while and sometimes wondered how feasible this would be. It seems analogous to a human brain externally storing some of its memories in a rigid medium like a notebook.

Here is a PDF of 40 sleep mindhacks: https://www.goodreads.com/ebooks/download/8114179-40-sleep-hacks

To be honest, I found the list rather simplistic, but it may be a good starting point for others. The one bit of advice that I found useful was waking up to the sound of pleasant music (via mp3 alarm), rather than the screeching of an alarm clock.

Only LW content?

Here's an offer for anyone who writes blog posts or LW articles: I'm willing to proofread as well as provide feedback on your drafts. I would probably give the most useful feedback on material concerning computer science, personal productivity and ethics, as that's where most of my experience is allocated. However, I'd be glad to read just about anything.