Wiki Contributions

Comments

Thanks for checking that! I apparently have 5 karma now, and the Add A New Meetup button has appeared, so the karma-required seems to be there instead.

Yea, I'm not seeing it. "Create new article", "Preferences", and "Log out".

What does it mean to "schedule a meetup and post it"? I get the feeling that there's a button I'm missing somewhere... (and if it involves making a Post post, I actually have no karma :P)

A few other people on the cambridgelesswrong mailing list have popped up saying they're coming, so it looks like we're gathering steam!

Cambridge, UK's regular meetup seems to have died a little bit, but me and one other person are looking to get it started again.

Would it be possible to shout out a Helpful Reminder About Its Existence on the next aggregation post?

What's happening there, I think, is that you have received a piece of evidence ("this guy's claims to have designed a perpetual motion machine") and you, upon processing that information, slightly increase your probability that perpetual motion machines are plausible and highly increase your probability that he's lying or joking or ignorant. Then you seek to test that new hypothesis: you search for flaws in the blueprints first because your beliefs say you have the highest likelihood of finding new evidence if you do so, and you would think it more likely that you've missed something than that the machine could actually work. However, after the proper sequence of tests all coming out in favour, you would not be opposed to building the machine to check; you're not opposed to the theoretical possibility that we've suddenly discovered free energy.

In rationalisation, at least the second and possibly both parts of the process differ. You seek to confirm the hypothesis, not test it, so check what the theoretical world in which the hypothesis is unarguably false feels like, maybe? Checking whether you had the appropriate evidence to form the hypothesis in the first place is also a useful check, though I suppose false positives would happen on that one.