Comment author: ChristianKl 03 August 2015 03:50:27PM 0 points [-]

Very few people reason in a way that uses probabilities.

Comment author: SolveIt 04 August 2015 12:15:04AM 0 points [-]

True, but I would consider the most common chain of reasoning for atheism (Occam's razor, therefore no God) equivalent to thinking in terms of probabilities even if probabilities aren't explicitly mentioned.

Comment author: Lumifer 31 July 2015 01:53:38AM 3 points [-]

The hat is very thin

So does it actually protect against the shock of impact or only against penetrating wounds?

Comment author: SolveIt 31 July 2015 02:25:03AM 0 points [-]

rubber on the side facing your head

Looks like it would mitigate the shock somewhat.

Comment author: Lumifer 31 July 2015 01:55:06AM 2 points [-]

I suspect another large fraction of TBIs is due to falling in baths and showers. Still a good idea to put on a helmet?

Comment author: SolveIt 31 July 2015 02:23:27AM 1 point [-]

Have them look like swim caps and drill holes so water can flow? I don't see the problem, it looks like a definite win for elderly people at the very least.

Comment author: snarles 26 July 2015 05:55:45AM 0 points [-]

It's not a contest. And although my explanation invokes unknown physics, it makes specific predictions which could potentially be validated or invalidated, and it has actionable consequences. Could you elaborate on what criteria make an idea "worth entertaining"?

Comment author: SolveIt 26 July 2015 08:45:37AM 2 points [-]

It's not a contest.

But it is. There are only a limited number of ideas we can work on, so we'd better have some reason to think that this idea has more potential than any of the innumerable other ideas we could be working on instead.

Comment author: SolveIt 26 July 2015 01:22:09AM 6 points [-]

Is there any reason we should expect such catastrophe engines to exist?

Comment author: Lumifer 25 July 2015 01:10:18AM 3 points [-]

Atheism can be legitimately viewed as a lack of belief

Not quite, that goes by the name of agnosticism. An atheist answers the question "Do gods exist?" by saying "No".

You've probably tested your belief in the lethality of long drops partially by falling out of trees as a child

The results of all these tests point out that falls are not lethal, of course :-P

Comment author: SolveIt 25 July 2015 10:34:06AM 0 points [-]

Your definition of atheism doesn't seem to reflect the way the word is used. A good portion of self-identified atheists would in fact be agnostics under your definition. In fact, every flavour of atheism I would consider compatible with general LW beliefs would be agnosticism since we can only claim that P(god) is very small.

Comment author: SolveIt 13 July 2015 10:53:42AM 0 points [-]

Do you know what procedures VC's use to assess viability? They're not the final word on the subject of course, but it seems the obvious starting point.

Comment author: Michelle_Z 08 July 2015 05:20:25PM 5 points [-]

Me too.

Comment author: SolveIt 08 July 2015 11:08:28PM 4 points [-]

Me too.

Comment author: Clarity 21 June 2015 04:47:34AM *  2 points [-]

this was an unhelpful comment, removed and replaced by this comment

In response to comment by Clarity on Reseach questions
Comment author: SolveIt 21 June 2015 10:12:02AM 3 points [-]

I'm not too familiar with research gate, but for the rest:

Quora: By far the worst when it comes to objective facts. While there are gems here and there, most upvoted answers read like pep talks, and usually don't have much content beyond that of a decent pep talk. Go here if you want a pep talk or a popularization of some scientific concept.

Stackexchange: is where you want to be most of the time. The answers are good, and their accuracy is much better than anywhere else on the net. If you're asking about a topic anywhere close to mainstream in academia (or if you're interested in computers), you'll find an expert on that very topic.

Lesswrong: Honestly, lesswrong is too small. Unless you're going to ask about niche topics (EA, Singularity, Cryonics, and the like), there's a good chance nobody here is an expert on what you're interested in. If you are interested in the niche topics, you'll find people willing to give you detailed answers. But beware of only getting one side of the story. The answers you'll get don't necessarily reflect expert consensus, or even rationalist consensus (See yvain's opinion polls and how they match up with the comments you read. Also, check out all the other rationalist hubs. For instance, the tumblr rationalists have a markedly different atmosphere.).

Comment author: [deleted] 18 June 2015 08:32:12AM *  10 points [-]

Post something half-baked on LW and you will be torn to shreds. Which is great, of course, and I wouldn't have it any other way

I would have it, and I don't find it great. Why should baking be an individual effort? Teamwork is better. It should be seen as "here, if you like it, help me bake it". That is why it is Discussion, not Main. I think a good way to use this site setup would be to throw half-baked things into Discussion, if it sounds interesting cooperate on baking it, then when done promote to Main. Really, why don't we do this?

All the great articles in the past, LW 2007-2010 look a lot like individual effort. Why should it be so?

Is this a bit Silicon Valley Culture? Because those guys do the same - they have a software idea and work on it individually or with 1-2 co-founders. Why? Why not start an open source project and invite contributors from Step 1? Why not throw half-made ideas out in the wild and encourage others to work on them to finish them? Assuming you are not after the money but after a solution you yourself would use, of course - "scratch your own itch" is a good idea in open source.

This kind of individual-effort culture sounds a lot like a culture where insights are in abundance but working on them is scarce, so people don't value much insights from others as long as they are not properly worked out. Well, I should say I am pretty much used to the opposite, most folks I know just work routine and hardly any reflection at all...

In response to comment by [deleted] on In praise of gullibility?
Comment author: SolveIt 18 June 2015 11:47:39AM *  12 points [-]

I disagree with the premise that LW tears half-baked ideas to shreds. My experience (which, admittedly is limited to open threads) is that you'll be fine if you're clear that what you're presenting a work in progress, and you don't overreach with your ideas.

By overreach, I mean something like this:

This is an attempt to solve happiness. Several factors, such as health, genetics, and social environment, affect happiness. So happiness = healthgeneticssocial environment.

You can see what's wrong with the post above. It's usually not this blatant, but I see this sort of thing too often, and they are invariably ripped to shreds. On the other hand, something like this:

This is an attempt to solve happiness. First, I'd like to identify the factors that affect happiness. I can think of health, genetics, and social environment. Can we break this down further? Am I missing any important factors?

Probably won't be ripped to shreds. It has it's fair share of problems, so I wouldn't expect an enthusiastic response from the community, but it won't be piled upon either.

Frankly speaking, the first type of post reeks of cargo cult science (big equations, formal style (often badly executed), and references that may or may not help the reader). I'm not too unhappy to see those posts being ripped to shreds.

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