Comment author: Xachariah 22 August 2013 09:37:41PM *  3 points [-]

What the heck does opposing 'Evidence-based' policy mean that you support?

Non-evidence based policy? Really?

Super-evidence-based policy? (That's some damn interesting marketing propaganda.)

I literally cannot wrap my head around what the first article wants us to base our policy on except "listen to what we say, and ignore any contrary evidence."

Comment author: pjeby 25 July 2013 04:14:00AM 18 points [-]

Many labor market regulations transfer wealth or job security to the already-employed at the expense of the unemployed, and these have been increasing over time.

One example: raising the minimum wage makes lower-productivity workers permanently unemployable, because their work is not worth the price, so no one can afford to hire them any more.

When the government raises minimum wage, it effectively funds the development of automation, as businesses seek replacements for low-end labor. (Like Amazon buying that robotics company to build warehouse management robots.)

Heck, you could almost say that AI doesn't cause unemployment; the need for unemployment causes AI. When labor cost increases without a productivity gain, there has to be a productivity gain to make up for it, and the pain of the increase motivates businesses to actually look for alternatives to their current ways of doing something.

So every time the minimum wage goes up, companies will replace more and more of their former minimum wage workers with automation. Somehow, the politicians never catch on to this, or they know and don't care. It makes me want to scream every time I get a promotional email from some organization talking about how evil low wages are and how the minimum wage needs to be raised. Don't they know they are going to make jobs go away, basically forever?

Comment author: Xachariah 28 July 2013 05:08:53AM *  0 points [-]

raising the minimum wage makes lower-productivity workers permanently unemployable, because their work is not worth the price, so no one can afford to hire them any more.

Employment is a function of being "worth the price" as you put it. But "worth the price" is not a fixed point; it is a function of demand. If only a handful of people want to buy your product, adding another person for $5/hr may not be worth the price. If everyone in the world were willing and able to buy your product, then you'd hire even if you had to pay $50/hr if you needed to.

Demand is a function of employment and wages. If wages go up then demand goes up... which increases employment.

Increasing minimum wage has never been shown to send away jobs.

Comment author: maia 26 July 2013 02:19:26AM 8 points [-]

The legend in canon says exactly that; the Peverell brother who got the Cloak was most successful, and lived a long time because the Cloak allowed him to evade death (until one day he took it off and got screwed).

Comment author: Xachariah 27 July 2013 04:51:29AM 7 points [-]

until one day he took it off and got screwed

He took it off and gave it to his son. In canon he meets death intentionally.

Comment author: ChristianKl 25 July 2013 10:48:08AM *  0 points [-]

man's attraction is static because women's value is static (looks based)

[...]

However, the one you really want isn't defined as the hottest girl, but the awesome girl that you want to be with more than anything.

One the one hand the argument is that a guy isn't attracted to the girl which whom he wants to be with more than anything because of looks (because she's the hottest) and one the other hand the argument is that male attraction is all about looks?

Comment author: Xachariah 25 July 2013 11:02:35AM 0 points [-]

Correct. My point is that the Blueprint has conflicting messages about male attraction. It says one thing explicitly and very different thing implicitly.

I hold that the implicit teachings more closely match reality.

Comment author: Velorien 21 July 2013 02:49:34PM 3 points [-]

it's everybody's observations of the world.

Correction: it is Harry's observations of the general public of the wizarding world, which is far from the same thing.

There are many possible worlds in which a number of powerful wizards know for a fact that souls exist, and live their lives accordingly, but which look exactly the same to Harry.

In fact, it's rather probable that a world in which a minority of wizards are aware that souls really exist would look just like this one. Imagine what it's like to be a member of such a minority trying to spread the truth.

"By the way, souls really exist."

"I know - everyone believes in souls."

"No, I mean it - souls actually, literally, exist. So you shouldn't be too sad when people die, because they're just going somewhere else. And you shouldn't be too sad about your baby being stillborn, because it'll have another chance at happiness in the afterlife. And depending on their circumstances, severely disabled people might be better off comitting suicide so they can move on to a healthy existence faster. And- hey, where are you going?"

I'm not saying any of those are necessarily reasonable conclusions to draw from the existence of souls, but it makes the point. Trying to live like this will automatically put you at odds with the rest of society, who will at best treat you like a crazy minority religious sect. So most soul-aware wizards will probably keep it to themselves, resulting in a world where Harry will be unaware of them.

Comment author: Xachariah 21 July 2013 11:28:28PM 1 point [-]

The people who point this out would be asked "Where's the proof?"

And if they could produce some, everyone would believe. And if they couldn't produce any... well why should they believe it in the first place?

Comment author: BlindIdiotPoster 21 July 2013 09:44:45AM 4 points [-]

Even if souls exist and everyone knows this, evolution would probably still select for humans who feel grief after their loved ones die.

Comment author: Xachariah 21 July 2013 11:27:09PM 2 points [-]

Your intuitions about evolution and my intuitions must be drastically different.

I can imagine no possible world where human bodies were attached to an immortal decision-making engine, on an evolutionary timescale, where human brain biology still looks practically indistinguishable from all other mammal brain biology and where human grief behavior still corresponds to other mammal grief behavior.

Comment author: fubarobfusco 20 July 2013 04:20:02AM 1 point [-]

women's attraction is static (looks based).

I'm a straight, polyamorous, and financially successful man. And I say unto ye: Huh?!

Comment author: Xachariah 20 July 2013 09:39:09AM *  0 points [-]

whoops, misplaced a word. I've edited it.

Comment author: baiter 04 July 2013 01:20:38PM 10 points [-]

If wishes were horses, beggars would ride.

English proverb

Comment author: Xachariah 20 July 2013 04:26:20AM 4 points [-]

If wishes were horses we'd all be eating steak.

  • Jayne Cobb, Objects in Space, Firefly
Comment author: Velorien 19 July 2013 12:54:05AM 8 points [-]

given the premise that souls do not exist

Do you mean that this is the premise of your analysis, or a premise of the HPMOR universe? Because if I understand correctly, all we have to show for the non-existence of souls is Harry's (entirely rational) belief, which may yet be challenged by future observations.

Comment author: Xachariah 19 July 2013 11:44:44PM 7 points [-]

It's not Harry's observations; it's everybody's observations of the world. People don't act like souls exist. If Dumbledore really thought that people just go on to another great adventure when they die, he wouldn't have a bunch of pedestals of broken wands.

Nobody in HPMOR believes in souls or acts like they exist. That's why Harry can decisively conclude that they don't exist.

Comment author: gothgirl420666 19 July 2013 05:51:39PM 0 points [-]

The blueprint makes that distinction but it's wrong. Male attraction is isomorphic to female attraction.

This is interesting to me, what do you mean by this statement? For example, the blueprint says that men's attraction is more or less binary and relatively fixed, while a woman's is a highly dynamic sliding scale. Would you disagree with this idea?

Comment author: Xachariah 19 July 2013 08:32:27PM *  1 point [-]

Yes I disagree. The blueprint covers that both sexes attraction is value based. Women's attraction is dynamic because man's value is dynamic; man's attraction is static because women's value is static (looks based). I'd argue that women's value is static because they don't know how to hold intrinsic value and project that value to others aside from with their looks, just as 90% of men don't know how to do so either.

A repeated message in the blueprint is the idea that you'll become attractive towards women, sleep with a lot of attractive girls, then you'll find the one that you really want and use your blueprint skills maximize your chance to get her, then you'll settle down with the one when you're ready to exit the game. This is basically the promise that's made throughout. However, the one you really want isn't defined as the hottest girl, but the awesome girl that you want to be with more than anything. There's an implicit acknowledgement that traits other than physical attractiveness matter when men look at women.

My argument is that yes those traits matter, and yes they're the same traits that the blueprint teaches men to have.

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