Comment author: Raemon 27 March 2011 04:20:57PM 5 points [-]

On the plus side, Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality is the fourth response to Rationality, even signed out.

Comment author: Zachary_Kurtz 29 March 2011 04:36:24PM 0 points [-]

And Yudkowski.net is result #6

Comment author: loup-vaillant 24 March 2011 03:26:12PM *  6 points [-]

There's probably an absurdity bias going on in the rejection of cryonics (the dead just don't come back, and frozen people look dead). It also violates tradition (burying and incineration). And in our culture, the mere image of frozen bodies in a fridge has more disgusting connotations than happy ones.

So that's my speculation about why someone who never actually thought about cryonics might reject it. Maybe if we tell those people about these reasons, they could change their mind?

Comment author: Zachary_Kurtz 24 March 2011 03:50:22PM 4 points [-]

Agree with the absurdity bias. For most (even smart) people their exposure to cryonics is things like Woody Allen's Sleeper and Futurama. I almost can't blame them for only seeing the absurd... I'm still trying to come around to it myself.

Comment author: Cyan 24 March 2011 12:04:13AM *  3 points [-]

Then you may be interested in the research of Michael I. Jordan. (The computational biology link will probably be the most useful to you, but as you can see from the diversity of applications, he's quite the generalist.)

Comment author: Zachary_Kurtz 24 March 2011 03:43:23PM 1 point [-]

AWesome, thanks!

Comment author: Cyan 23 March 2011 06:43:44PM *  1 point [-]

Out of professional curiosity, what is the focus of your research? (I'm a postdoc statistician at the Ottawa Institute of Systems Biology.)

Comment author: Zachary_Kurtz 23 March 2011 09:06:39PM 1 point [-]

Not completely defined at the moment since I'm a 1st year PhD student at NYU, and currently doing rotations. It'll be something like comparative genomics/regulatory networks to study evolution of bacteria or perhaps communities of bacteria.

Comment author: Zachary_Kurtz 23 March 2011 06:24:35PM 1 point [-]

You'll get more response from the NY group (we don't all check LW and discussion board regularly) by making a post to the google group/listserve:

http://groups.google.com/group/overcomingbiasnyc/topics?start=

Comment author: Zachary_Kurtz 23 March 2011 06:20:19PM 1 point [-]

Thanks... this should come in handy in my computational research in systems biology

Comment author: Zachary_Kurtz 23 March 2011 06:18:08PM 0 points [-]

A broken clock is right twice per day. If value theory is incidentally correct, it doesn't make folk theories valuable on the margins - unless of course, if people who hold folk theories do consistently better than rationalists, but then I'd question the rationalist label.

Comment author: Zachary_Kurtz 22 March 2011 06:25:29PM 3 points [-]

I wish I could take that much time to do this

Comment author: David_Gerard 17 March 2011 06:01:09PM *  7 points [-]

Currently trendy is the Bayesian argument, which frequently starts with asserting that the only acceptable proper and right-thinking prior probability of God is 0.5 AAAAAARGH

(The problem here being the assumption that we start knowing nothing at all rather than that we know really quite a lot - that being the bit in the argument where a negligible probability is turned into a non-negligible one.)

(Sorry, I just had lunch with some relatively sensible theists and I'm still going AAAAAARGH)

Comment author: Zachary_Kurtz 17 March 2011 07:26:49PM 1 point [-]

Is that because if you treat probabilities of (God or not God) as maximum entropy without prior information you'd get 50/50?

Comment author: JoshuaZ 17 March 2011 05:09:34PM *  2 points [-]

Interesting. I'm involved in the skeptical movement, and while I've encountered a few similar to what you describe, my impression is that most skeptics don't fall into that category. Skeptics are generally proud that they update based on evidence. Indeed, the most prominent exceptions help drive this point home. PZ Myers has said repeatedly that nothing would convince him that there's a deity and he's been repeatedly hammered by most of the skeptical movement over this statement.

Comment author: Zachary_Kurtz 17 March 2011 07:24:13PM 2 points [-]

Good on them! In my experience, whenever I sneak bayesian updating into the conversation, it's well received by skeptics. When I try to introduce Bayes more formally or start supporting anti-mainstream ideas, such as cryonics, AI, etc, there's much more resistance.

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