Any idea how long it will take to select applicants?
I'm going to a conference the entire second weekend of the mini-camp. I will cancel the conference without hesitation if I am accepted, but since that is only a month away I need to know asap to try get my money back for the conference, plus I need to book my flight soon.
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My internal name for this is "conjunction penalty". At some point in the last year I learned to penalize conjunctions and favor disjunctions in real life. For example, to stop being afraid of an imagined worst case scenario, I count the number of independent things that need to go wrong, roughly estimate the probability of each, multiply them, and end up with a comfortably small number. Also it feels very nice to carry out plans that depend on disjunctions of favorable events, because such plans work much more often than I intuitively expect.
This is really interesting. Could you give an example?