Caledonian's job is to contradict Eliezer.
Not even that -- it's as if he and other commenters (e.g. Unknown in this case) are simply demanding that Eliezer express his points with less conviction.
If you think Eliezer is wrong, say so and explain why. Merely protesting that he is "confident beyond what is justified", or whatever, amounts to pure noisemaking that is of no use to anyone.
Alaska is unusually far from the United States
Seeing as how Alaska is in the United States, I would say this makes it unusually close.
400 people die, with certainty.
Should that be 100?
Eliezer,
Given that Jacob Stein claims the reason Darwinism is accepted by scientists is that it provides justification for raping children, I think it's fair to say that he is a straw man.
Anyway, great post. As usual.
Could we please take the true confessions to private email?
I'd rather they didn't, as I'm actually finding this discussion interesting. (Maybe you're not, but you can ignore it; whereas I can't hack into Eliezer's e-mail!)
Incidentally, which meetup was this: Bay Area or NYC?