In response to comment by argumzio on How Many Worlds?
Comment author: prase 14 December 2011 06:52:33PM 0 points [-]

The answer is only true if the measured quantity has continuous spectrum, therefore not applying to the only explicitly mentioned example of the cat. Furthermore I don't follow your subsequent reasoning.

In response to comment by prase on How Many Worlds?
Comment author: argumzio 14 December 2011 07:43:17PM *  -1 points [-]

Taking the universe as a QM event most definitely implies there are uncountably many universes. The OP very clearly asked for non-standard instances of the question, and a generalization of the question most certainly applies thereto.

I certainly hope others do not continue to down-vote what they don't grasp, because LW will only be the worse off for it. (Not implying you down-voted, but if you weren't, then the one who did obviously hasn't the wherewithal to state an outright objection.)

Edit: if you don't "follow", at least state in what exactly you don't follow so that I can actually provide something to your explicit satisfaction.

In response to How Many Worlds?
Comment author: argumzio 14 December 2011 05:49:37PM *  -2 points [-]

Uncountably many. Consider that on the scale of the Omniverse (which contains only this one particular universe among uncountably many) the probability for any event is 1. It is also so, because it is absurd to suppose there is a universe in which something, if there be anything, does not exist. Furthermore, even if the probability for an event in our universe were 0 that would in no way serve as an impediment to its occurring in the long run.

Comment author: hamnox 14 December 2011 05:13:12PM *  0 points [-]

When did I say that color was a near-universal attribute? I said that there were near-universal attributes associated with certain parts of the visible light spectrum, not that colors themselves were universal. You are right though--for that claim to make sense colors also have to be assumed to be near-universal. And near-universal is probably too strong a term to describe the kind of weak color assocations I'm thinking of. Any studies that showing such effects (like red and yellow being associated with hunger) were probably Western-culture-based and should be taken with a grain of salt and a Big Mac.

I do know about the examples to the contrary that you mentioned. Color perception can vary from person to person, and naming conventions for colors are REALLY not universal. However, notice how color blindness and tetrachromacy are considered exceptions to the norm. These exceptions are largely the reason I specified near-universal for humans rather than simply universal for humans. And while different cultures divide their bleggs and rubes by different rules, it does not diminish their ability to perceive the variations of shades within the individual blegg and rube bins.

Unlike color-blindness. Colorblindness will diminish that ability.

Comment author: argumzio 14 December 2011 05:36:33PM *  2 points [-]

When did I say that color was a near-universal attribute?

Here's what indicated as much:

There really are attributes for colors that are near-universal, for humans.

An "attribute for color" is not much different from showing that a name is an attribute for a color. Again, you were making the same mistake by thinking that a name for a color is an absolute. Definitely not the case, which you recognize:

You are right though--for that claim to make sense colors also have to be assumed to be near-universal.

To continue –

However, notice how color blindness and tetrachromacy are considered exceptions to the norm. These exceptions are largely the reason I specified near-universal for humans rather than simply universal for humans.

– I further pointed out that humans do not live in a mono-culture with a universal language that predetermines the arrangement of linguistic space in connection to perceived colors. That is the norm, such that the claim of near-universality does not apply. (And were such a mono-culture present, all it would take is a small deviation to accumulate to undermine it. Think of the Tower of Babel.)

The objection I posited covers all cases, even the exceptions. It's really the mind-projection fallacy, such that one human regards their "normal" experience as the "normal" experience of "normal" humans, more or less.

Comment author: Logos01 14 December 2011 03:33:05PM 1 point [-]

Ontological Argument:

  1. {X} is conceived of as perfectly {Y}.

  2. To be perfectly {Y}, {X} must exist.

  3. Therefore, {X} exists.

Comment author: argumzio 14 December 2011 05:08:22PM 0 points [-]

This is also reminiscent of Descartes' cogito:

X cannot occur without Y. X occurs. Therefore, Y exists.

(X=thought; Y=a thinking thing)

Comment author: Gust 13 December 2011 11:18:11PM 0 points [-]

I guess it wasn't clear, C1 and C2 reffered to the reasonings as well as the conclusions they reached. You say belief is of no importance here, but I don't see how you can talk about "defeat" if you're not talking about justified believing.

For the first bullet: no, it is not possible, in any case, to conclude C2, for not to agree that one made a mistake (i.e., reasoned invalidly to T) is to deny the truth of ~T which was shown by Ms. Math to be true (a valid deduction).

I'm not sure if I understood what you said here. You agree with what I said in the first bullet or not?

Second bullet: in the case of a theorem, to show the falsity of a conclusion (of a theorem) is to show that it is invalid. To say there is a mistake is a straightforward corollary of the nature of deductive inference that an invalid motion was committed.

Are you sure that's correct? If there's a contradiction within the set of axioms, you could find T and ~T following valid deductions, couldn't you? Proving ~T and proving that the reasoning leading to T was invalid are only equivalent if you assume the axioms are not contradictory. Am I wrong?

P1, P2, and P3 are axiomatic statements. And their particular relationship indicates (the theorem) S, at least to the one who drew the conclusion. If a Ms. Math comes to show the invalidity of T (by F), such that ~T is valid (such that S = ~T), then that immediately shows that the claim of T (~S) was false. There is no need for belief here; ~T (or S) is true, and our fellow can continue in the vain belief that he wasn't defeated, but that would be absolutely illogical; therefore, our fellow must accept the truth of ~T and admit defeat, or else he'll have departed from the sphere of logic completely.

The problem I see here is: it seems like you are assuming that the proof of ~T shows clearly the problem (i.e. the invalid reasoning step) with the proof of T I previously reasoned. If it doesn't, all the information I have is that both T and ~T are derived apparently validly from the axioms F, P1, P2, and P3. I don't see why logic would force me to accept ~T instead of believing there's a mistake I can't see in the proof Ms. Math showed me, or, more plausibly, to conclude that the axioms are contradictory.

Comment author: argumzio 14 December 2011 03:41:39AM 2 points [-]

...I don't see how you can talk about "defeat" if you're not talking about justified believing

"Defeat" would solely consist in the recognition of admitting to ~T instead of T. Not a matter of belief per se.

You agree with what I said in the first bullet or not?

No, I don't.

The problem I see here is: it seems like you are assuming that the proof of ~T shows clearly the problem (i.e. the invalid reasoning step) with the proof of T I previously reasoned. If it doesn't, all the information I have is that both T and ~T are derived apparently validly from the axioms F, P1, P2, and P3.

T cannot be derived from [P1, P2, and P3], but ~T can on account of F serving as a corrective that invalidates T. The only assumptions I've made are 1) Ms. Math is not an ivory tower authoritarian and 2) that she wouldn't be so illogical as to assert a circular argument where F would merely be a premiss, instead of being equivalent to the proper (valid) conclusion ~T.

Anyway, I suppose there's no more to be said about this, but you can ask for further clarification if you want.

Comment author: jmmcd 13 December 2011 10:22:34PM *  2 points [-]

It's surely a fallacy, but I'm not sure it's the typical mind one.

"It's either the typical mind fallacy, or it's not. 50-50!"

EDIT Somewhere between reading the post and clicking comment I seem to have switched from "mind projection" to "typical mind". Darn: that makes it 33-33-33 instead.

Comment author: argumzio 13 December 2011 10:26:40PM 3 points [-]

Funny. I thought of pointing that out as well, but I thought it probably wasn't worth mentioning.

As I've imagined it being said before: "I'm either a genius or I'm not. That's a 50% chance of my being a genius. Just pray luck isn't on my side!" :)

Comment author: hamnox 13 December 2011 08:10:40PM 8 points [-]

Odd, human-centric example:

I used to think that everyone had the same favorite internal color-experience and we all just grew up calling the colors different names, blissfully unaware that your "red" is in fact my yellow, or your cousin's green. After all, how could someone NOT like my favorite color as much as I did? Clearly, they all liked purple and just grew up calling it a different color...

It's weird how I managed to both avert and run smack right into the mind projection fallacy in the same thought. I realized that everyone could, in theory, have a different internal experience and attach it to the same outer word or thing, and yet I still insisted that the "favorite" attribute was universal.

I don't believe it anymore, but I still think about the mind projection fallacy in terms of it. There really are attributes for colors that are near-universal, for humans. Red has very good reasons for being associated with passion and aggressiveness, being the color of blood. But think if my pet theory had been true, and someone else experienced it as a calm sky blue? It wouldn't BE calm for them--they'd have the same ingrained emotional reaction for it that I have for my version of red. So however much it feels like red is a passionate and aggressive color in and of itself, the passion and aggressiveness really only comes from me.

Comment author: argumzio 13 December 2011 10:18:20PM 3 points [-]

Colors-as-near-universal-attributes is really a false claim. Consider examples of the varieties of color blindness, tetrachromacy, and cultures in which certain colors go by names that other cultures distinguish as being different. Your last paragraph seems to indicate that you still hold to the Mind Projection Fallacy which you had assumed to have overcome by realizing your favorite isn't everyone's favorite. Well, even their "blue" might be your "green". Generally, this goes unnoticed because we tend to acculturate and inhabit more or less similar linguistic spaces.

Comment author: Gust 13 December 2011 08:52:58PM *  0 points [-]

Sorry, I think I still don't understand your reasoning.

First, I have the beliefs P1, P2 and P3, then I (in an apparently deductively valid way) reason that [C1] "T is a theorem of P1, P2, and P3", therefore I believe T.

Either my reasoning that finds out [C1] is valid or invalid. I do think it's valid, but I am fallible.

Then the Authority asserts F, I add F to the belief pool, and we (in an apparently deductively valid way) reason [C2] "~T is a theorem of F, P1, P2, and P3", therefore we believe ~T.

Either our reasoning that finds out [C2] is valid or invalid. We do think it's valid, but we are fallible.

  • Is it possible to conclude C2 without accepting I made a mistake when reasoning C1 (therefore we were wrong to think that line of reasoning was valid)? Otherwise we would have both T and ~T as theorems of F, P1, P2, and P3, and we should conclude that the promises lead to contradiction and should be revised; we wouldn't jump from believing T to believing ~T.
  • But the story doesn't say the Authority showed a mistake in C1. It says only that she made a (apparently valid) reasoning using F in addition to P1, P2, and P3.
  • If the argument of the Authority doesn't show the mistake in C1, how should I decide whether to believe C1 has a mistake, C2 has a mistake, or the promises F, P1, P2, and P3 actually lead to contradiction, with both C1 and C2 being valid?

I think Bayesian reasoning would inevitably enter the game in that last step.

Comment author: argumzio 13 December 2011 10:02:17PM *  2 points [-]

C1 is a presumption, namely, a belief in the truth of T, which is apparently a theorem of P1, P2, and P3. As a belief, it's validity is not what is at issue here, because we are concerned with the truth of T.

F comes in, but is improperly treated as a premiss to conclude ~T, when it is equivalent to ~T. Again, we should not be concerned with belief, because we are dealing with statements that are either true or false. Either but not both (T or ~T) can be true (which is the definition of a logical tautology).

Hence C2 is another presumption with which we should not concern ourselves. Belief has no influence on the outcome of T or ~T.

For the first bullet: no, it is not possible, in any case, to conclude C2, for not to agree that one made a mistake (i.e., reasoned invalidly to T) is to deny the truth of ~T which was shown by Ms. Math to be true (a valid deduction).

Second bullet: in the case of a theorem, to show the falsity of a conclusion (of a theorem) is to show that it is invalid. To say there is a mistake is a straightforward corollary of the nature of deductive inference that an invalid motion was committed.

Third bullet: I assume that the problem is stated in general terms, for had Ms. Math shown that T is false in explicit terms (contained in F), then the proper form of ~T would be: F -> ~T. Note that it is wrong to frame it the following way: F, P1, P2, and P3 -> ~T. It is wrong because F states ~T. There is no "decision" to be made here! Bayesian reasoning in this instance (if not many others) is a misapplication and obfuscation of the original problem from a poor grasp of the nature of deduction.

(N.B.: However, if the nature of the problem were to consist in merely being told by some authority a contradiction to what one supposes to be true, then there is no logically necessity for us to suddenly switch camps and begin to believe in the contradiction over one's prior conviction. Appeal to Authority is a logical fallacy, and if one supposes Bayesian reasoning is a help there, then there is much for that person to learn of the nature of deduction proper.)

Let me give you an example of what I really mean:

Note statements P, Q, and Z:

(P) Something equals something and something else equals that same something such that both equal each other. (Q) This something equals that. This other something also equals that. (Z) The aforementioned somethings equal each other.

It is clear that Z follows from P and Q, no? In effect, you're forced to accept it, correct? Is there any "belief" involved in this setting? Decidedly not. However, let's suppose we meet up with someone who disagrees and states: "I accept the truths of P and Q but not Z."

Then we'll add the following to help this poor fellow:

(R) If P and Q are true, then Z must be true.

They may respond: "I accept P, Q, and R as true, but not Z."

And so on ad infinitum. What went wrong here? They failed to reason deductively. We might very well be in the same situation with T, where

(P and Q) are equivalent to (P1, P2, and P3) (namely, all of these premisses are true), such that whatever Z is, it must be equivalent to the theorem (which would in this case be ~T, if Ms. Math is doing her job and not merely deigning to inform the peons at the foot of her ivory tower).

P1, P2, and P3 are axiomatic statements. And their particular relationship indicates (the theorem) S, at least to the one who drew the conclusion. If a Ms. Math comes to show the invalidity of T (by F), such that ~T is valid (such that S = ~T), then that immediately shows that the claim of T (~S) was false. There is no need for belief here; ~T (or S) is true, and our fellow can continue in the vain belief that he wasn't defeated, but that would be absolutely illogical; therefore, our fellow must accept the truth of ~T and admit defeat, or else he'll have departed from the sphere of logic completely. Note that if Ms. Math merely says "T is false" (F) such that F is really ~T, then the form [F, P1, P2, and P3] implies ~T is really a circular argument, for the conclusion is already assumed within the premisses. But, as I said, I was being charitable with the puzzles and not assuming that that was being communicated.

Comment author: argumzio 13 December 2011 05:22:49PM *  4 points [-]

Here's one that comes to mind:

I really don't know anything about baseball, so if I'm going to bet on either the Red Socks or the Yankees, I'd have to go fifty-fifty on it. Therefore, the chance that either will win is fifty percent.

(Right at the "therefore" is the fallacy put forward as a veritable property of either of the teams winning, when in fact it is merely indicative of the ignorance of the gambler. The actual probability is most likely not 50-50.)

EDIT: Others might enjoy reading this PDF ("Probability Theory as Logic") for additional background and ideas. There you'll also see a bon mot by Montaigne: "Man is surely mad. He cannot make a worm; yet he makes Gods by the dozen."

Comment author: antigonus 13 December 2011 07:19:56AM 0 points [-]

I'm interested in what you have to say, and I'm sympathetic (I think), but I was hoping you could restate this in somewhat clearer terms. Several of your sentences are rather difficult to parse, like "And to be committed to false statements as being not-false would be absurd, such that it would alone be proper to aver that one has been defeated in having previously been committed to the truth of T despite that that committment was fundamentally invalid."

Comment author: argumzio 13 December 2011 03:36:52PM *  1 point [-]

Read my latest comments. If you need further clarity, ask me specific questions and I will attempt to accommodate them.

But to give some additional note on the quote you provide, look to reductio ad absurdum as a case where it would be incorrect to aver to the truth of what is really contradictory in nature. If it still isn't clear, ask yourself this: "does it make sense to say something is true when it is actually false?" Anyone who answers this in the affirmative is either being silly or needs to have their head checked (for some fascinating stuff, indeed).

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