Comment author: roystgnr 08 January 2015 04:14:41PM *  3 points [-]

"Hmm... I can prove that this is in NP, but not in P or in NP-Complete. That's not worth any points at all!" (crumples up and throws away paper)

Comment author: asr 08 January 2015 10:16:37PM *  1 point [-]

Speaking as a former algorithms-and-complexity TA --

Proving something is in NP is usually trivial, but probably would be worth a point or two. The people taking complexity at a top-tier school have generally mastered the art of partial credit and know to write down anything plausibly relevant that occurs to them.

Comment author: buybuydandavis 07 January 2015 08:36:54PM *  2 points [-]

The way I see it is this:

Hey, another crazy person like me. Now we are two.

I've had a similar take on it for a long time. It seems like the expansion is an attempt to explain observed red shifts, necessitating an increasingly convoluted theory to explain other observations.

The observation is, the farther away, the greater the shift, in a linear fashion.

f = (c - H * D) / w where w is the wavelength from which it was emitted.

f=f_0 - D*Constant

What if it light just loses energy as it travels, so that the frequency shifts lower?

That seems like a perfectly natural solution. How do we know it isn't true?

What would be the implications to the current theories if it were true?

Comment author: asr 08 January 2015 07:04:23AM *  3 points [-]

What if it light just loses energy as it travels, so that the frequency shifts lower? That seems like a perfectly natural solution. How do we know it isn't true?

As gjm mentions, the general name for this sort of theory is "tired light." And these theories have been studied extensively and they are broken.

We have a very accurate, very well-tested theory that describes the way photons behave, quantum electrodynamics. It predicts that photons in the vacuum have a constant frequency and don't suddenly vanish. Nor do photons have any sort of internal "clock" for how long they have been propagating. As near as I can tell, any sort of tired light model means giving up QED in fairly fundamental ways, and the evidentiary bar to overturn that theory is very high.

Worse, tired light seems to break local energy conservation. If photons just vanish or spontaneously redshift, where does the energy go?

I can conceive of there being a tired light model that isn't ruled out by experiment, but I would like to see that theory before I junk all of 20th century cosmology and fundamental physics.

Most scientific theories, most of the time, have a whole bunch of quirky observations that they don't explain well. Mostly these anomalies gradually go away as people find bugs in the experiments, or take into account various effects they hadn't considered. The astronomical anomalies you point to don't seem remotely problematic enough to give up on modern physics.

Comment author: Capla 24 December 2014 01:50:49AM 5 points [-]

I am naive and inexperienced in the ways of love, but it seems implausible that romantic love is often (usually?) bidirectional. Of all the people of the right sex that one is close too, why do people usually fall in love with someone who is likewise in love with them?

Comment author: asr 24 December 2014 05:16:49AM 3 points [-]

"Falling in love" isn't this sudden thing that just happens, it's a process and it's a process that is assisted if the other person is encouraging and feels likewise. Put another way, when the object of your affection is uninterested, that's often a turnoff, and so one then looks elsewhere.

Comment author: asr 19 December 2014 06:06:32AM 1 point [-]

There is a peculiar consequence of this, pointed out by Cosma Shalizi. Suppose we have a deterministic physical system S, and we observe this system carefully over time. We are steadily gaining information about its microstates, and therefore by this definition, its entropy should be decreasing.

You might say, "the system isn't closed, because it is being observed." But consider the system "S plus the observer." Saying that entropy is nondecreasing over time seems to require that the observer is in doubt about its own microstates. What does that mean?

Comment author: asr 04 December 2014 04:19:02AM *  0 points [-]

Russell is an entirely respectable and mainstream researcher, at one of the top CS departments. It's striking that he's now basically articulating something pretty close to the MIRI view. Can somebody comment on whether Russell has personally interacted with MIRI?

If MIRI's work played a role in convincing people like Russell, that seems like an major accomplishment and demonstration that they have arrived as part of the academic research community. If Russell came to that conclusion on his own, MIRI should still get a fair bit of praise for getting there first and saying it before it was respectable.

In either case, my congratulations to the folks at MIRI and I will up my credence in them, going forwards. (They've been rising steadily in my estimation for the last several years; this is just one of the more dramatic bumps.)

Comment author: asr 31 October 2014 12:19:42AM 27 points [-]

Did the survey. Mischief managed.

Comment author: NxGenSentience 19 September 2014 05:41:19PM 1 point [-]

Did you read about Google's partnership with NASA and UCSD to build a quantum computer of 1000 qubits?

Technologically exciting, but ... imagine a world without encryption. As if all locks and keys on all houses, cars, banks, nuclear vaults, whatever, disappeared, only incomparably more consequential.

That would be catastrophic, for business, economies, governments, individuals, every form of commerce, military communication....

Didn't answer your question, I am sorry, but as a "fan" of quantum computing, and also a person with a long time interest in the quantum zeno effect, free will, and the implications for consciousness (as often discussed by Henry Stapp, among others), I am both excited, yet feel a certain trepidation. Like I do about nanotech.

I am writing a long essay and preparing a video on the topic, but it is a long way from completion. I do think it (qc) will have a dramatic effect on artifactual consciousness platforms, and I am even more certain that it will accellerate superintelligence (which is not at all the same thing, as intelligence and consciousness, in my opinion, are not coextensive.)

Comment author: asr 19 September 2014 06:16:56PM *  5 points [-]

Did you read about Google's partnership with NASA and UCSD to build a quantum computer of 1000 qubits?

Technologically exciting, but ... imagine a world without encryption. As if all locks and keys on all houses, cars, banks, nuclear vaults, whatever, disappeared, only incomparably more consequential.

My understanding is that quantum computers are known to be able to break RSA and elliptic-curve-based public-key crypto systems. They are not known to be able to break arbitrary symmetric-key ciphers or hash functions. You can do a lot with symmetric-key systems -- Kerberos doesn't require public-key authentication. And you can sign things with Merkle signatures.

There are also a number of candidate public-key cryptosystems that are believed secure against quantum attacks.

So I think we shouldn't be too apocalyptic here.

Comment author: asr 26 August 2014 08:45:47PM *  3 points [-]

Taking up on the "level above mine" comments -- Scott is a very talented and successful researcher. He also has tenure and can work on what he likes. The fact that he considers this sort of philosophical investigation worth his time and attention makes me upwardly revise my impression of how worthwhile the topic is.

Comment author: James_Miller 18 August 2014 02:14:31AM *  1 point [-]

How about this as a policy:

1) You can't advocate violence or criminal acts.

2) You can't engage in what the moderator determines to be massive down voting of a single person.

3) You can't create posts that the moderator determines are not beneficial to the LessWrong community.

4) The moderator has the right to ban posts or users that violate (1), (2), or (3).

Comment author: asr 18 August 2014 02:32:35AM 4 points [-]

Points 1 and 2 are reasonably clear. Point 3 is unhelpfully vague. If I were moderator, I would have no idea how far that pushes, and as a commenter I wouldn't have a lot of insight as to what to avoid.

I don't mind giving a catch-all authority to a moderator, but if there are specific things you have in mind that are to be avoided, it's probably better to enumerate them.

I would add an explicit "nothing illegal, nothing personally threatening" clause. Those haven't been problems, but it seems better to remind people and to make clear we all agree on that as a standard.

Comment author: [deleted] 01 August 2014 07:22:28PM *  2 points [-]

I'm developing a low-level strongly typed virtual machine suitable for running thought processes with provable program properties, and which result in checkable partial execution traces with cryptographically strong bounds on honest vs fraudulent work. Such a framework meets the needs for a strong AI boxing setup.

In response to comment by [deleted] on Saving the World - Progress Report
Comment author: asr 01 August 2014 07:46:37PM 0 points [-]

Interesting. Can you say more about how your work compares to existing VMs, such as the JVM, and what sorts of things you want to prove about executions?

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