= 27d567bc2d48d9f40e9ccc20ea370b15)
Far too many people are looking for the right person, instead of trying to be the right person.
-Gloria Steinem
In response to
Rationality Quotes August 2013
In response to
Rationality Quotes August 2013
I just think it's good to be confident. If I'm not on my team why should anybody else be?
-Robert Downey Jr.
In what respect is it not true? I've certainly observed it. I haven't observed it every day, but most scientists in the world are not under my observation.
If Sagan had actually looked for it happening in politics and religion, he'd have found plenty of examples. Especially in the latter.
In response to
Rationality Quotes June 2012
In science it often happens that scientists say, 'You know that's a really good argument; my position is mistaken,' and then they would actually change their minds and you never hear that old view from them again. They really do it. It doesn't happen as often as it should, because scientists are human and change is sometimes painful. But it happens every day. I cannot recall the last time someting like that happened in politics or religion.
-- Carl Sagan, 1987 CSICOP Keynote Address
Inspiring, but not true.
In response to
Rationality Quotes July 2013
Every book is a children's book if the kid can read
Mitch Hedberg
In response to
Rationality Quotes July 2013
People tend to roll their eyes a bit when business school grads like me start saying things about “management is measurement” and so on, but the fact is that a) if you don’t measure something, how are you going to find out whether it’s changed or not? and b) if you don’t want to find out whether something’s changing or not, in what sense can you actually claim to care about it?
When we roll our eyes at business school grads, it isn't because we don't believe in measuring anything. It's the same eyeroll that the 10 O'Clock news gets when they report the newest study linking molasses and cancer, which has nothing to do with my lack of belief in studies about cancer.
(Ch. 94) Wow. That discussion we got after the meeting was the first legitimately silly theory we've heard from Harry, and I'm astonished that the Professor humored him. Hopefully this is a symptom of sleep deprivation.
In response to
comment
by
on
Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 22, chapter 93
Doesn't seem all that silly to me.
But if it is silly, then Harry just found out Dumbledore is humoring him.
In response to
comment
by
on
Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 23, chapter 94
A troll is unlikely to have any last words at all. Specifically not "not your fault."
Also a troll is unlikely to die with the feeling of a thousand books.
I think this is a very low likelihood guess.
In response to
comment
by
on
Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 23, chapter 94
If not Hermoine, the only possible person to have died was McGonagall.
That being said, Hermoine's dead. No tricks.
High confidence prediction, based on the feminism rant. Rot13 because, while Eliezer has not retracted it, he recommended people not read it:
Va uvf enag ba UCZBE naq srzvavfz, Ryvrmre fnvq Urezvbar jbhyq pbzr onpx nf na nyvpbea cevaprff. Gurer jnf fbzr qvfphffvba bs jurgure ur jnf wbxvat va gur ynfg guernq. Gur snpg gung gur zbfg erprag nhgube'f abgr qvq abg rkcynva gung ur jnf wbxvat gb zr engure fgebatyl pbasvezf gung ur jnfa'g.
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-Steven Spielberg