Better would be to predict that the comment will have, say, between -10 and 0 karma. Would the audience who dislike this type of comments downvote to hurt the author's karma, or upvote to frustrate his prediction?
(I am not going to do the experiment myself - the first time it is slightly amusing, the second time it would be annoying. But if somebody doesn't mind being annoying...)
We're really good at this sort of group coordination: -20 karma for sure :)
It strikes me that, in addition to the face-value interpretations given by the researchers, the subjects of some of these experiments could also be seen as rationally responding to incentives not to reveal their desires. The face attractiveness subjects might be afraid of embarrassing an authority figure or "messing up" the experiment. The split-brain patient might (rightly) think a truthful "I don't know" would be interpreted as evasive or hostile. The children might reason that being seen doing a rewarded activity "for free" would remove the basis for any future rewards.
The priming results don't seem to fit this pattern, though.
The objective of rationality is to achieve your goals as well as possible.
Too general, and maybe false. Many people, rational and not, are interested in and successful at achieving their goals well. And: less wrong is sometimes a seminar on how to achieve your goals, but it is not always and only that (I hope!).
They are rational to the extent they are interested and successful at achieving their goals.
Since so many poker opponents often decide at whim, we need to do more than just strategically analyze their actions relative to what they should be doing. We need to watch and listen and determine what they are doing.
--Mike Caro, Caro's Book of Tells
Could the "something wrong" have to do with the concept of the soul?
That's my bet: Harry doesn't believe in souls, but he swallows the explanation without a second thought.
"What's been going on?" she said. "There's all sorts of rumors. There were people saying you'd run off to fight Bellatrix Black, there were people saying you'd run off to join Bellatrix Black -" and those rumors had said that Hermione had just made up the thing about the phoenix, and she'd yelled that the whole Ravenclaw common room had seen it, so then the next rumor had claimed she'd made up that part too, which was stupidity of such an inconceivable level that it left her completely flabbergasted.
"I can't talk about it," Harry said in a bare whisper. "Can't talk about a lot of it. I wish I could tell you everything," his voice wavered, "but I can't... I guess, if it helps or anything, I'm not going to lunch with Professor Quirrell any more..."
Yes, he is. A promise to lie can be broken or kept with equal loss of honor.
Harry has already been forbidden from leaving the Hogwarts wards without sufficient cause and escort by this time; lunch with Quirrell was explicitly included in this ban. That's not far from what he'd say as an innocent.
Make sure you're logged out first, otherwise your search results are tuned according to your search history.
Eliezer mentioned an RSS feed in the author notes. Can you actually get one? I was under the impression that you could not.
http://demented.no-ip.org/~feep/rss_proxy.cgi?5782108
You can also get email alerts of new chapters, directly from fanfiction.net
OK, I think that is it. H.P. thinks its why witches are no longer as powerful as they used to be. The idea was to prevent dangerous fools from having powerful magic, but it also means a lot of ancient magic was lost as some spells were never orally transferred, and there was no written copy to be discovered later.
And note the hat's commentary on the matter.
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KARMA EQUALIZER: You may vote me down to cancel out your poll vote. To make this easier, I've just tricked you into thinking of the Hamster Dance song.
Oddly enough, the first song to come to mind when you said that was the chicken dance.