Forecasting Walkthrough with Metaculus pro ExMateriae

Vojtech Brynych
Tue, 31 Mar 2026 06:38:34 GMT

ExMateriae, a pro forecaster on Metaculus and #1 in both the baseline accuracy and commenting Metaculus leaderboards in 2025, will take one forecasting question and walk through his entire reasoning process step by step.

It's a rare chance to see how a pro forecaster actually does it.

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