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It seems like the obvious thing to do, but it's worth having a tiny note that percent values are approximate, just because they look exact.
In response to
The Quick Bayes Table
A similar table for bits: https://gist.github.com/2415775
Good one.
I chose the decibel scale instead of using bits because bits were a bit awkward when the probabilities were close to 50%. From 0 bits to 1 the probability jumps 16.666%, and the odds doubles, but with decibels the first jump is about 6%, and doubles the odds around 3 decibels, and multiplies them by 10 in exactly 10 decibels.
In response to
The Quick Bayes Table
Your odds ratios, and thus your decibels, are imprecise. I don't know if that was approximation on purpose to simplify calculation, or what?
For example, 1% is an odds ratio of 1:99, which is 10 * log(1/99) =~ -19.96.
Exactly, I used approximations on purpose, but the real approximated value in this case is the 1%. The ratio that actually gets -20 dB is 1:100.
I felt that getting approximated but round results was worth the imprecision. If I used values like -19.96 on the table, then people without the patience to handle maths wouldn't be able to use it as well.
Should I explain about the imprecisions of this table better in the article?
In response to
The Quick Bayes Table
Yudkowski
Yudkowsky
Also, fix your fonts - looks like you got some copypasta in there.
Ok. Corrected it, and tried to fix my fonts. I don't know if I did it right.
In response to
Welcome to Less Wrong! (2012)
Greetings, everyone.
My name is Francisco, and I am from Malaga, Spain. I am a dabbling rationalist, and a programmer/troubleshooter.
I started walking the path of rationality when I started keeping track of good luck/normal luck/bad luck events in order to check if Murphy's law was actually true, and then wondering why people actually believed in it. Later, I started reading about fallacies, and I finally arrived at LW via HMPOR, like many people.
I am currently reading my way through the Sequences, but my current project is to make Bayes' theorem more accessible to people without math backgrounds. I have a couple of ideas that I'd like to refine and share at this community, even if English is my second language.
In response to
How not to move the goalposts
I don't think that RA actually moved the goalposts. The goal is exactly the same: "Men have better technical abilities than women, so they should get paid more for the same engineering jobs."
The point that WA actually changed was from "Men and women are just as well suited to technical careers as each other!", which he conceded, to "If men really are better, they'll get raises and promotions on their own merit, not merely by virtue of being male."... But these points aren't located in the goal. They are points in the middle of the field, parts of a discussion. Losing one of those points shouldn't mean losing the whole discussion.
An example of actual goalpost-moving should be from "Men have better technical abilities than women, so they should get paid more for the same engineering jobs." to "People who have better technical abilities should get paid more for the same engineering jobs".
In response to
Spaniard Lesswrongers, Unite!
Por favor contesten en la sección de comentarios si son Españoles o residentes en España....Nota: Los hispanoamericanos también son los bienvenidos, anque solo sea por el idioma.
¿Y qué pasa con los otros? :-)
Me interesaría colaborar en un eventual proyecto para traducir las "secuencias" de LW en castellano (y otras lenguas en las que tengo alguna competencia) -- creo que sería una manera especialmente útil de practicar la escritura en idiomas distintos del inglés (lo que es para mi una especie de pasatiempo), y obtener interacción con parlantes de estos idiomas que son también "racionalistas".
Siento igualmente curiosidad por estos "problemas endémicos" de racionalidad que tenéis en España. Efectivamente tenía la impresión que España era un poco por delante de otros paises a este respecto (recuerdo por ejemplo una entrevista con el ateo italiano famoso Piergiorgio Odifreddi en un periódico español, en la cual dijo que leía cosas en la prensa española que sería muy difícil decir en su propio país).
Muy buenas a todos. Yo tambien estoy interesado en traducir las secuencias al castellano. Estoy especialmente interesado en hacer llegar estos conceptos a la mayor cantidad de personas posible, y que el idioma no sea un impedimento. ¿Hay algun grupo de traducción existente?
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This is cool, but I would prefer if you wrote eg 7.9:1 instead of 79:10. I think the odds always being to/from 1 would make it easier to compare them.
Ok, I changed it. It certainly seems more intituitive this way.