Comment author: Izeinwinter 11 March 2015 08:07:58PM *  -1 points [-]

Actually, the one wow I really do not get all wizards are not under is very simple. Merlin laid down his interdict due to a crisis of magic being used in wars in utterly unrestrained ways. Blocking people from learning certain kinds of magic is a daft way of stopping that. What you do is you take every single wizarding child of 8, and make them swear to never use any magic that would harm more than one person. Still free to fight, still free to defend themselves, just noone capable of area effect magics of destruction anymore.

Comment author: fezziwig 11 March 2015 09:09:32PM 2 points [-]

How do we know the crisis was war, and not (for example) people gradually reinventing the arts with which the Atlanteans destroyed themselves?

Comment author: Transfuturist 11 March 2015 02:36:31AM 0 points [-]

What's Brin's stupid ending?

Comment author: fezziwig 11 March 2015 02:40:36AM 4 points [-]

http://davidbrin.blogspot.com/2015/03/a-quick-informal-post-on-yudkowskys.html

I think "stupid" is a little strong, personally. But I like the canon ending better.

Comment author: gerryblog 11 March 2015 12:05:35AM 1 point [-]

I'm a fan, but if I were EY I would be worried about getting the nomination and then coming in under No Award. That seems a more likely outcome than somehow winning Best Novel.

Comment author: fezziwig 11 March 2015 02:09:23AM *  4 points [-]

Conditional on it being nominated at all, I think it would definitely beat No Award. Have a look at the raw stats from 2013 and 2014; for Best Novel, No Award gets crushed by everything. In 2014, for example, No Award got 88 votes out of 3587 ballots. In a world where MOR made it into the top 5 for Best Novel, it can definitely do better than that.

(Okay, yes, it happened to Vox Day, but that was for Novella, or maybe Novellette, whichever).

EDIT: On re-reading, I think this is a little misleading. The Hugo uses preference voting, so it's possible for No Award to beat some particular candidate even if almost nobody picked it in the first round of voting. You can see this in the data but my summary was too casual.

But like most other commenters, I don't think we do live in that world.

Comment author: falenas108 10 March 2015 08:50:22PM *  29 points [-]

From chapter 38, when Harry buys the Quibbler:

"Gosh," Harry said half a minute later, "you get a seer smashed on six slugs of Scotch and she spills all sorts of secret stuff. I mean, who'd have thought that Sirius Black and Peter Pettigrew were secretly the same person?"

EDIT: Then,

"And I'm secretly sixty-five years old."

Which is also true, because of Voldemort inside him. Which leaves....

"And I'm betrothed to Hermione Granger, and Bellatrix Black, and Luna Lovegood, and oh yes, Draco Malfoy too..."

Comment author: fezziwig 10 March 2015 11:34:23PM 16 points [-]

Man, that's beautiful. What does Bellatrix Black want most, that Harry can offer?

She wants Tom Riddle to love her.

Comment author: [deleted] 10 March 2015 06:43:06PM 5 points [-]

I would like you to nominate HPMOR for Best Novel in the 2016 Hugos.

Hey gwern, you scared?

Comment author: fezziwig 10 March 2015 07:55:44PM 0 points [-]

Are you interested in making more bets of this type?

Comment author: Mperv 10 March 2015 03:18:10PM *  0 points [-]

"the stunbolt leapt out of her wand and - - slowed to a stop in front of Professor Quirrell's raised hand, rippling in midair like it was still trying to fly and making a slight hissing sound."

Does LV really need hands to stop stunbolts? Why did he try to evade?

Comment author: fezziwig 10 March 2015 07:49:28PM 1 point [-]

Resonance. He doesn't dare involve himself with Harry's magic in any way.

In response to comment by [deleted] on Open thread, Mar. 9 - Mar. 15, 2015
Comment author: ShardPhoenix 09 March 2015 10:20:28AM *  2 points [-]

Hmm, mostly just articles where they get better results with more NN layers/more examples, which are both limited by hardware capacity and have seen large gains from things like using GPUs. Current algos still have far fewer "neurons" than the actual brain AFAIK. Plus, in general, faster hardware allows for faster/cheaper experimentation with different algorithms.

I've seen some AI researchers (eg Yann Lecun on Facebook) emphasizing that fundamental techniques haven't changed that much in decades, yet results continue to improve with more computation.

Comment author: fezziwig 09 March 2015 02:43:03PM 1 point [-]

I think you have the right idea, but it's a mistake to conflate "needs a big corpus of data" and "needs lots of hardware". Hardware helps, the faster the training goes the more experiments you can do, but a lot of the time the gating factor is the corpus itself.

For example, if you're trying to train a neural net to solve the "does this photo contain a bird?" problem, you need a bunch of photos which vary at random on the bird/not-bird axis, and you need human raters to go through and tag each photo as bird/not-bird. There are many ways to lose here. For example, your variable of interest might be correlated to something boring (maybe all the bird photos were taken in the morning, and all the not-bird photos were taken in the afternoon), or your raters have to spend a lot of time with each photo (imagine you want to do beak detection, instead of just bird/not-bird: then your raters have to attach a bunch of metadata to each training image, describing the beak position in each bird photo).

Comment author: Vaniver 04 March 2015 03:21:19PM 1 point [-]

And now we really know why Harry had to carry around his father's rock. For practice

I thought that we knew that like 30 chapters ago?

Comment author: fezziwig 04 March 2015 04:05:47PM 0 points [-]

I thought so too, after the troll. I've changed my mind.

Or, did you mean that we knew that it was for practice at keeping things transfigured thirty chapters ago? If so, I just missed it.

Comment author: fezziwig 04 March 2015 03:52:19AM 4 points [-]

And now we really know why Harry had to carry around his father's rock. For practice:

And meanwhile, just like magic hadn't defined a Transfigured unicorn as dead for purposes of setting off wards, Voldemort's horcruxes wouldn't define a Transfigured Voldemort as dead and try to bring him back.

That was the hope, anyway.

Harry's scar twinged one last time when the steel ring went on his pinky finger, holding the tiny green emerald in contact with his skin. Then his scar subsided, and did not hurt again.

Comment author: Velorien 03 March 2015 07:55:49PM 0 points [-]

Fame is harmful, not helpful, to Harry's goals.

Is that true? Harry wishes to reform or replace the government of Magical Britain, and being the hero who defeated Voldemort twice would make that a lot easier (as Voldemort himself acknowledged). Turning Hermione into the Girl-Who-Lived dilutes that effect, and also brings all his fame-related problems down upon her.

Comment author: fezziwig 04 March 2015 03:40:32AM 2 points [-]

Is it really that much better than being the hero who defeated Voldemort once, though? Putting on Hermione does seem pretty mean, but I think it's a very in-character sort of mistake, especially after the kind of day he's had.

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