In response to comment by Topo on The Affect Heuristic
Comment author: CG_Morton 15 August 2011 11:30:36PM 3 points [-]

In the 1 red/10 beans scenario, you can only win once, no matter how hard you try. With 7 read/100 beans, you simply play the game 100 times, draw 7 red beans, and end up with 7x more money.

Unless the beans are replaced, in which case yeah, what the hell were they thinking?

Comment author: jubydoo 09 September 2011 03:17:42PM 6 points [-]

I think the idea of the game was you get one chance to pick a bean. After all, if you can just keep picking beans until you've picked all the reds, there's not really much point to the so-called game anymore, is there?

Comment author: lukeprog 08 September 2011 06:32:30PM 4 points [-]

It seems you abandoned Christianity for the right reasons.

Well, kind of. My reasons for rejecting supernaturalism are much better informed than when I originally left theism behind. I didn't know about technical explanation, Bayesianism, or Solomonoff induction when I lost my faith.

Comment author: jubydoo 08 September 2011 08:52:43PM 4 points [-]

It's good to know I'm not the only one. I can give a good argument against the existence of God these days, but when I first walked away from religious belief it was just a vague sense of "this is all BS".

I'm still new around here, and I'm still learning how to really be rational, but after being the smartest guy in the room for so long it's nice to learn that there's still room to grow. On that note, what is Solomonoff induction?