Applied. Looks good. Might decide it's not worth it, but you make a good case.
One thing. 0 to 10 ratings are utterly useless. The median is almost always around 7, for almost anything. Please give us calibrated statistics, not subjective pseudo-quantities where most of the contribution is from noise and offset.
Reminds me of business planning types ranking alternatives 1..n and then treating the indexes as utilities. ick. TYPE ERROR.
The median is almost always around 7, for almost anything.
I tried to take that into account when reading.
treating the indexes as utilities
Please explain.
Replace "glad I went" with a better criterion- that question deserves a good response.
"Is there evidence this will be worthwhile according to my values now, independently of how it might change my values?"
"Is there evidence that this is instrumentally useful for more than warm fuzzies?"
"Is there evidence that for the probable benefit of this event the costs are substantially optimized for it? I.e., if the benefit is substantially social, even if this would be worth flying around the world for, a program could actually be optimized for social benefits, and/or I could attend a closer/cheaper/shorter program with similar benefits to me."
"Regardless of anyone's intent, what is this program optimized for?"
"How's the food?"
You'll be able to explain the math behind what you do.
7b) Is there any evidence I'll be glad I went that a Christian retreat could not produce just as easily?
Edit: Okay, 15 seconds to this being downvoted was a little hasty.
7b) Is there any evidence I'll be glad I went that a Christian brainwashing retreat could not produce just as easily?
If you went to a Jehovah's Witness retreat, and were in an accident, and you were conscious enough to refuse a blood transfusion, you'd be glad for having learned what you did at the retreat, even if you knew the refusal would be fatal.
In general, anything that is compelling and affects your decisions will make you glad for it, and its being compelling is probably not inversely related to its being true. So I'm not too concerned that my tentative answer to this question is "no."
you'll find that people are searching for "less wrong cult" and "singularity institute cult" with some frequency.
Maybe a substantial number of people are searching for the posts about cultishness.
*cough* Mine is 'delete the sentence entirely'. I never really liked that virtues page anyway!
I entirely agree with this.
Unless I'm misinterpreting things, it looks like lessdazed means that Cartesian dualism is so insane that using the word "just" doesn't do it justice.
That's what I intended.
Can someone provide the full text of this?
Slippery slope arguments (SSAs) have a bad philosophical reputation. They seem, however, to be widely used and frequently accepted in many legal, political, and ethical contexts. Hahn and Oaksford (2007) argued that distinguishing strong and weak SSAs may have a rational basis in Bayesian decision theory. In this paper three experiments investigated the mechanism of the slippery slope showing that they may have an objective basis in category boundary re-appraisal.
Also this:
...he argued that the very reasons that can make SSAs strong arguments mean that we should be poor at abiding by the distinction between good and bad SSAs, making SSAs inherently undesirable. We argue that Enoch’s meta-level SSA fails on both conceptual and empirical grounds.
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Anna says we're still looking at locations but it's looking at around $115/person/night just for lodging + meals, and that the 3-day camps actually include 4 nights the way everyone counts things and we have to purchase it. Anna also notes that she and Julia and Michael get $3k/month and this takes way more of their time than just the actual days. So definitely not a Singinst fundraiser. That data is available very easily so I'm posting it right now.
A specific example of an exercise from last year's minicamp that a lot of people liked was "Value of Information" which included the technical details of how to calculate VoI and exercises in being sensitive to particular forms of scope (how much does it cost, how long does it last, how often does it happen).
We're still working out the program which is why it's not posted even tentatively (we were just in the middle of some agonizing about priorities).
I have friends and relatives who live in the area. How central to the camp is the communal living aspect? What would you charge to commute to it, if that is possible?