I don't think I have anything valuable to add on the object level, but: the way you introduce Christian Madsen at the end of your post doesn't really sound encouraging with regard to cooperation with you. You guys should work on a better elevator pitch.
Sorry to be blunt, but I find them simply ugly. This many fonts and effects make text hard to read and look like someone's first engagement with MS Word when they were 12.
Meetup : Warsaw November Meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : Warsaw November Meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : Warsaw November Meetup
The All-Nighter Experiment: What Worked and What Didn't
"I spent a week researching the best advice I could find from seasoned bankers, "Hackathon" sleep doctors, and the military elite. Then I stayed up all-night and experimented on myself, trying the techniques and figuring out what worked and what didn't.
Even though I'm self-employed and I set my own "deadlines", I still chose to stay up for 36 hours straight. I don't know if that makes me crazy, or dedicated, or maybe crazy dedicated... probably just crazy.
This post contains the most useful takeaways from the experience, including three things that worked and three things that didn't."
http://www.wallstreetoasis.com/forums/the-all-nighter-experiment-what-worked-and-what-didnt
PhD programs in mathematics, statistics, philosophy, and theoretical computer science tend to give you a great deal of free time and flexibility, provided you can pass the various qualifying exams without too much studying.
Economics also has good opinion among the EA/rationality crowd: - http://noahpinionblog.blogspot.co.uk/2013/05/if-you-get-phd-get-economics-phd.html - https://80000hours.org/career-guide/top-careers/profiles/economics-phd/ - and posts by Bryan Caplan (links under the first link)
Meetup : Warsaw August Meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : Warsaw August Meetup
Location: Green Caffe Nero - Telimena, Krakowskie Przedmieście 27, Warszawa
Discussion article for the meetup : Warsaw August Meetup
Meetup : Warsaw: GO playing
Discussion article for the meetup : Warsaw: GO playing
Discussion article for the meetup : Warsaw: GO playing
Meetup : Warsaw integration: Barbecue on the beach
Discussion article for the meetup : Warsaw integration: Barbecue on the beach
A casual meetup - integration on the beach on eastern side of Vistula river, near the Kryniczna bus stop. A map: https://goo.gl/maps/ZQ7Fa
Facebook event: https://www.facebook.com/events/1626726597575564/
Discussion article for the meetup : Warsaw integration: Barbecue on the beach
Meetup : Warsaw June Meetup: TDT, UDT, WTF
Discussion article for the meetup : Warsaw June Meetup: TDT, UDT, WTF
We'll try to understand WTF is going on with TDT and UDT and possibly talk about other stuff, as usual (how beautiful are those images generated by Google neural networks and how depiction of math in popculture sucks).
See you in Cafe Lorentz backyard (Muzeum Narodowe, Aleje Jerozolimskie 3).
Event page on FB: https://www.facebook.com/events/941447572573094/ Less Wrong Warsaw group on FB: https://www.facebook.com/groups/lwwarsaw/
Discussion article for the meetup : Warsaw June Meetup: TDT, UDT, WTF
View more: Next
Subscribe to RSS Feed
= f037147d6e6c911a85753b9abdedda8d)
Heh. It isn't that simple.
What precisely does "There is a 70% chance of rain tomorrow" mean?
One possible answer, related to the concept of calibration, is this: it means that it rained in 70% of the cases when you predicted 70% chance of rain.