Comment author: Lumifer 22 February 2016 10:16:01PM 2 points [-]

I'd like to see people have a clue what a probability actually is.

Heh. It isn't that simple.

What precisely does "There is a 70% chance of rain tomorrow" mean?

Comment author: mkf 23 February 2016 08:13:16AM 1 point [-]

One possible answer, related to the concept of calibration, is this: it means that it rained in 70% of the cases when you predicted 70% chance of rain.

Comment author: mkf 03 February 2016 01:39:39PM 1 point [-]

I don't think I have anything valuable to add on the object level, but: the way you introduce Christian Madsen at the end of your post doesn't really sound encouraging with regard to cooperation with you. You guys should work on a better elevator pitch.

Comment author: mkf 28 December 2015 10:58:20AM 7 points [-]

Sorry to be blunt, but I find them simply ugly. This many fonts and effects make text hard to read and look like someone's first engagement with MS Word when they were 12.

Meetup : Warsaw November Meetup

1 mkf 04 November 2015 06:41PM

Discussion article for the meetup : Warsaw November Meetup

WHEN: 14 November 2015 04:00:00PM (+0100)

WHERE: Jabeerwocky Craft Beer Pub, ul. Nowogrodzka 12, 00-511 Warszawa

Discussion article for the meetup : Warsaw November Meetup

Comment author: mkf 31 October 2015 11:48:50AM 2 points [-]

The All-Nighter Experiment: What Worked and What Didn't

"I spent a week researching the best advice I could find from seasoned bankers, "Hackathon" sleep doctors, and the military elite. Then I stayed up all-night and experimented on myself, trying the techniques and figuring out what worked and what didn't.

Even though I'm self-employed and I set my own "deadlines", I still chose to stay up for 36 hours straight. I don't know if that makes me crazy, or dedicated, or maybe crazy dedicated... probably just crazy.

This post contains the most useful takeaways from the experience, including three things that worked and three things that didn't."

http://www.wallstreetoasis.com/forums/the-all-nighter-experiment-what-worked-and-what-didnt

Comment author: mkf 04 October 2015 02:13:03PM 3 points [-]

PhD programs in mathematics, statistics, philosophy, and theoretical computer science tend to give you a great deal of free time and flexibility, provided you can pass the various qualifying exams without too much studying.

Economics also has good opinion among the EA/rationality crowd: - http://noahpinionblog.blogspot.co.uk/2013/05/if-you-get-phd-get-economics-phd.html - https://80000hours.org/career-guide/top-careers/profiles/economics-phd/ - and posts by Bryan Caplan (links under the first link)

Meetup : Warsaw August Meetup

1 mkf 17 August 2015 11:12AM

Discussion article for the meetup : Warsaw August Meetup

WHEN: 30 August 2015 03:00:00PM (+0200)

WHERE: Warsaw

Location: Green Caffe Nero - Telimena, Krakowskie Przedmieście 27, Warszawa

Fb event: https://www.facebook.com/events/382397675303040/

Fb group: https://www.facebook.com/groups/lwwarsaw/

Discussion article for the meetup : Warsaw August Meetup

Meetup : Warsaw: GO playing

1 mkf 14 July 2015 02:21PM

Discussion article for the meetup : Warsaw: GO playing

WHEN: 18 July 2015 02:00:00PM (+0200)

WHERE: Warsaw

Warsaw, Kawiarnia Hoża 51

Let's play GO!

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Go_%28game%29

Discussion article for the meetup : Warsaw: GO playing

Meetup : Warsaw integration: Barbecue on the beach

1 mkf 09 July 2015 02:19PM

Discussion article for the meetup : Warsaw integration: Barbecue on the beach

WHEN: 31 July 2015 06:30:00PM (+0200)

WHERE: Warsaw

A casual meetup - integration on the beach on eastern side of Vistula river, near the Kryniczna bus stop. A map: https://goo.gl/maps/ZQ7Fa

Facebook event: https://www.facebook.com/events/1626726597575564/

Discussion article for the meetup : Warsaw integration: Barbecue on the beach

Meetup : Warsaw June Meetup: TDT, UDT, WTF

1 mkf 19 June 2015 02:50PM

Discussion article for the meetup : Warsaw June Meetup: TDT, UDT, WTF

WHEN: 25 June 2015 06:30:00PM (+0200)

WHERE: Warsaw

We'll try to understand WTF is going on with TDT and UDT and possibly talk about other stuff, as usual (how beautiful are those images generated by Google neural networks and how depiction of math in popculture sucks).

See you in Cafe Lorentz backyard (Muzeum Narodowe, Aleje Jerozolimskie 3).

Event page on FB: https://www.facebook.com/events/941447572573094/ Less Wrong Warsaw group on FB: https://www.facebook.com/groups/lwwarsaw/

Discussion article for the meetup : Warsaw June Meetup: TDT, UDT, WTF

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