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Yudkowsky recently posted something interesting on this, let me see if I can find it...
There is also a more detailed paper by Lattimore and Hutter (2011) on discounting and time consistency that is interesting in that context.
This is a very interesting paper. Reminds me of HIGHLANDER for some reason... those guys lived for thousands of years and weren't even rich? They hadn't usurped control of vast econo-political empires? No hundred-generations-long family of bodyguards?
In response to
A summary of the Hanson-Yudkowsky FOOM debate
As someone who has not yet read through all the sequences and found it difficult on a few occasions where I attempted to follow the Hanson-Yudkowsky FOOM debate, I find this summary very helpful.
I find it really helps if you do the voices. Like pretend Yudkowsky sounds like Harry Potter from the movie and is having a conversation with Dumbledore (in the HPMOR universe, obviously).
In response to
A summary of the Hanson-Yudkowsky FOOM debate
...it all makes sense now.
The bleak grey world turns lucid at once!
In response to
Room for more funding at the Future of Humanity Institute
Slightly off topic, but I'm very interested in the "policy impact" that FHI has had - I had heard nothing about it before and assumed that it wasn't having very much. Do you have more information on that? If it were significant, it would increase the odds that giving to FHI was a great option.
Unfortunately, the impact of information is often too closely tied to the funding poured into its propagation. Look at the way American media networks are basically billboards for the rich
I saw a post the other year about artists who asked Michael Vassar what they could do to ensure friendliness. "Modify the status of friendliness research" seems like it could be a good answer to that. Art can definitely impact cultural memes (e.g. Stranger in a Strange Land), so a reasonable proceduralization of "modify the status of activity X" might be to get some artist to do it. (Though, even if artists can create and spread powerful memes, figuring out exactly how to construct those memes in order to modify status could be a pain point.)
You're totally right. Art & Utopianism go together like a horse and carriage. This is an interesting blog on the subject:
http://nomadicutopianism.wordpress.com/2011/04/22/art-and-utopia/
In response to
Remind Physicalists They're Physicalists
I think you're reading too much speculative detail into this. Is it any different from persuading people to buy your drugs by showing men in white coats and saying "studies have shown"?
This is the crux. You can't take a small amount of empirical data, skip sociology, postulate a hypothesis which you don't intend to test, and then generalize from it. I'm not gonna downvote this thread because I don't think stating this hypothesis is bad; I just think its presentation is sloppy. Lukeprog, please don't take this too harshly; I make similar mistakes all the time.
If Reagan or FDR or Washington ever caught themselves thinking "I'm the smartest guy in this room" their immediate reaction would have been: "Uh-oh, I'd better get some smarter guys in here, pronto!"
Reagan had Alzheimers throughout his second term, and if he didn't have clinical alzheimers during his first term, it's not difficult to demonstrate that a pre-Alzheimers condition isn't much better. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ONNMiuWI4Fo&feature=related http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/archives/individual/2011_01/027551.php
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Hmm would an AI be superior or inferior if it were unable to not think Bayesianally?