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Comment author: JMiller 03 April 2014 04:01:34PM 1 point [-]

If you are often travelling over bridge by car, having a car-knife could be handy in case you go over. The device generally comes equipped with a seat belt cutter, pressurized hammer, and flashlight.

Comment author: niceguyanon 04 April 2014 02:18:22AM 1 point [-]
Comment author: ArisKatsaris 01 April 2014 07:14:25AM 1 point [-]

Podcasts Thread

Comment author: niceguyanon 04 April 2014 02:10:29AM 1 point [-]

Science fiction podcast about space travel and AI. You can also read it if that is what you rather do.

http://escapepod.org/2014/03/29/ep441-kumara/

Comment author: ArisKatsaris 01 April 2014 07:14:20AM 0 points [-]

Other Media Thread

Comment author: niceguyanon 04 April 2014 02:07:16AM 1 point [-]

http://www.ftlgame.com/ Fun space rouge-like.

Comment author: niceguyanon 24 March 2014 04:43:17AM *  1 point [-]
Comment author: niceguyanon 17 March 2014 04:22:23PM *  1 point [-]

The focus seems to be more on irrational things that people do, rather than irrational things that smart people do.

Help me understand better where you are coming from because I'd argue the opposite. Of the 9 articles or ideas that you want to see on LW, you listed 2 posts, Mestroyer and others listed 4 more, plus a few posts germane to the idea of smart people fail modes. intellectual hipsters and metacontrarianism is an all time top post.

Advice about akrasia, motivation, identity and happiness are for the benefit of people in general, and if anything most posts are tailored for smart people in mind. I might agree with you if I start seeing posts about wearing seat belts and use of contraception, but instead we have posts like the curse of identity and strategic choice of identity. Reflection on identity is epistemic rationality for smart people.

Comment author: niceguyanon 13 March 2014 07:38:41PM 2 points [-]

What are some effective ways to treat internet addiction? Some sort of allowance system or cold turkey? I'm just strictly talking about the goofing off type of internet.

Comment author: Lumifer 07 March 2014 01:23:00AM 2 points [-]

"The man Newsweek claims is the founder of Bitcoin denies he had anything to do with the digital currency.

In an exclusive two-hour interview with The Associated Press Dorian S. Nakamoto, 64, said he had never heard of Bitcoin until his son told him he had been contacted by a reporter three weeks ago."

says AP

Comment author: niceguyanon 09 March 2014 12:21:19PM 0 points [-]

I was previously 70% sure that Dorian is Satoshi but this interview and other reports that he was taken out of context by the Newsweek reporter has now made me think this is just a coin flip.

Comment author: niceguyanon 03 March 2014 03:41:14PM *  2 points [-]

Two identities that I find very useful are:

  • Nothing is beyond my grasp
  • Fearless

Nothing is beyond my grasp is an internal compartmentalizing technique but I find it so powerful and used so often by myself that I might as well assign it as an identity. I do so cautiously. LWer So8res who coined the term, differentiates this technique from overcoming fear of failure. After thinking about it I tend to agree, so I separated it in to another identity which I call fearless.

The Fearless identity is pretty self explanatory. There are times when my will power and motivation are completely sapped because of the crippling fear of rejection, this is when I put on the fearless identity. Other times I will use the nothing is beyond my grasp identity when find my motivation taking a hit not because I am fearful but because I think I lack the competency to do a task well.

I have previously played with these ideas before but only recently formalized it for myself and actively use these identities more concretely than just reading about it. Looking back, before all these meta mind games I've learned, my greatest success in life and romance were when I was unreasonably confident and fearless. Nothing ever turned out to be scarier than what I thought it would be.

Comment author: Alexandros 28 February 2014 07:03:29AM 1 point [-]

Well, at this point we're weighing anecdotes, but..

  1. Yes! They do tend to push their rationality to the limit. Hypothesis: knowing more about rationality can help push up the limit of how rational one can be.

  2. Yes! It's not about rationality alone. Persistent determination is quite possibly more important than rationality and intelligence put together. But I posit that rationality is a multiplier, and also tends to filter out the most destructive outcomes.

In general, I'd love to see some data on this, but I'm not holding my breath.

Comment author: niceguyanon 03 March 2014 02:40:11PM 0 points [-]

Agreed. Interestingly, the latest post in main points to evidence supporting rationality having a significant relation to success in the work place – not the same as entrepreneurship, nonetheless I update slightly more in favor of your position.

Comment author: Alexandros 27 February 2014 07:36:29AM 1 point [-]

This isn't "I'm smart and rules don't apply". Smartness alone doesn't help.

But, to put it this way, if rationality training doesn't help improve your startup's odds of success, then there's something wrong with the rationality training.

To be more precise, in my experience, a lot of startup failure is due to downright stupidity, or just ignoring the obvious.

Also, anecdotally, running a startup has been the absolute best on-the-job rationality training I've ever had.

Shockingly, successful entrepreneurs I've worked with score high on my rationality test, which consists of how often they say things that are uncontested red flags, and how well-reasoned their suggested courses of action are. In particular, one of our investors is the closest approximation to a bayesian superintelligence I've ever met. I can feed him data & news from the past week, and almost hear the weighting of various outcomes shift in his predictions and recommendations.

In short,

  1. Rationalists are more likely to think better, avoid obvious errors.
  2. Thinking better improves chances of startup success
  3. Rationalists have better chances of startup success.

I do understand this sounds self-serving, but I also try to avoid the sin of underconfidence. In my experience, quality of thinking between rationalists and the average person tends to be similar to quality of conversation here versus on YouTube. The problem is when rationalists bite off more than they can chew in terms of goals, but that's a separate problem.

Comment author: niceguyanon 27 February 2014 10:59:23PM *  1 point [-]

What you say sounds intuitive to me at first, but as of now I would say that rationality training may boost start up success rates up just a little.

Here is some reasons why rationality might not matter that much:

  1. People tend to be a bit more rational when it counts, like making money. So having correct beliefs about many things doesn't really give you an edge because the other guy is also pretty rational for business stuff.

  2. self-delusion, psychopathy, irrationality, corruption, arrogance, and raw driven determination, have good if not better anecdotal evidence of boosting success than rationality training I think.

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