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Meetup : West LA Meetup - Quantifying and Measuring for Self-Experimentation

0 nickernst 03 June 2013 06:05AM

Discussion article for the meetup : West LA Meetup - Quantifying and Measuring for Self-Experimentation

WHEN: 05 June 2013 11:00:53PM (-0700)

WHERE: 10850 West Pico Blvd, Los Angeles, CA 90064

When: 7:00pm Wednesday, June 5th.

Where: The Westside Tavern in the upstairs Wine Bar (all ages welcome), located inside the Westside Pavillion on the second floor, right by the movie theaters. The entrance sign says "Lounge".

Parking is free for 3 hours.

Discussion: We will review and brainstorm methods for measuring the effects of changes when doing self-experimentation (trying a new medication, work environment, life policy, etc.), and consider what failure modes might exist for different sorts of self-experiments. Very abstract, but we will start off with a few useful working examples!

No prior knowledge of or exposure to Less Wrong is necessary; this will be generally accessible and useful to everyone who values thinking for themselves. There will be open general conversation until 7:30, and that's always a lot of good, fun, intelligent discussion!

I will bring a whiteboard with Bayes' Theorem written on it.

Discussion article for the meetup : West LA Meetup - Quantifying and Measuring for Self-Experimentation

Meetup : West LA Meetup - Probabilistic Graphical Models, Take 2!

0 nickernst 19 May 2013 04:39PM

Discussion article for the meetup : West LA Meetup - Probabilistic Graphical Models, Take 2!

WHEN: 22 May 2013 07:00:00PM (-0700)

WHERE: 10850 West Pico Blvd, Los Angeles, CA 90064

When: 7:00pm Wednesday, May 22nd.

Where: The Westside Tavern in the upstairs Wine Bar (all ages welcome), located inside the Westside Pavillion on the second floor, right by the movie theaters. The entrance sign says "Lounge".

Parking is free for 3 hours.

Lecture/Discussion: Graphs can make understanding causality very intuitive and easy. They are also a powerful tool for doing more complicated modeling. I will introduce PGMs as a concept, and show a few examples where they can be useful.

No prior knowledge of or exposure to Less Wrong is necessary; this will be generally accessible and useful to everyone who values thinking for themselves. There will be open general conversation until 7:30, and that's always a lot of good, fun, intelligent discussion!

I will bring a whiteboard with Bayes' Theorem written on it.

Discussion article for the meetup : West LA Meetup - Probabilistic Graphical Models, Take 2!

Comment author: nickernst 11 May 2013 06:57:31PM *  15 points [-]

Bulimia studies might be a good place to start when evaluating the effects of such a program!

Comment author: nickernst 10 April 2013 08:47:54PM 0 points [-]

Let's make it! Who's in to help program? I'll start a github repo and a google group as soon as a few people are committed.

  1. State the amount of time you are willing to commit.
  2. State the worst case amount of time you would be able to commit.
  3. State your first and second choice of language.
  4. (Optional) Share any thoughts you have on how best to approach this challenge.
  5. PM me your github username.

Meetup : West LA Meetup - Probabilistic Graphical Models

2 nickernst 26 March 2013 04:44AM

Discussion article for the meetup : West LA Meetup - Probabilistic Graphical Models

WHEN: 27 March 2013 07:00:00PM (-0700)

WHERE: 10850 West Pico Blvd, Los Angeles, CA 90064

When: 7:00pm Wednesday, March 27th.

Where: The Westside Tavern in the upstairs Wine Bar (all ages welcome), located inside the Westside Pavillion on the second floor, right by the movie theaters. The entrance sign says "Lounge".

Parking is free for 3 hours.

Lecture/Discussion: Graphs can make understanding causality very intuitive and easy. They are also a powerful tool for doing more complicated modeling. I will introduce PGMs as a concept, and show a few examples where they can be useful.

No prior knowledge of or exposure to Less Wrong is necessary; this will be generally accessible and useful to everyone who values thinking for themselves. There will be open general conversation until 7:30, and that's always a lot of good, fun, intelligent discussion!

I will bring a whiteboard with Bayes' Theorem written on it.

Discussion article for the meetup : West LA Meetup - Probabilistic Graphical Models

Meetup : West LA Meetup - Strong Evidence, Weak Evidence

2 nickernst 13 March 2013 03:34AM

Discussion article for the meetup : West LA Meetup - Strong Evidence, Weak Evidence

WHEN: 13 March 2013 07:00:00PM (-0700)

WHERE: 10850 West Pico Blvd, Los Angeles, CA 90064

When: 7:00pm Wednesday, March 13th.

Where: The Westside Tavern in the upstairs Wine Bar (all ages welcome), located inside the Westside Pavillion on the second floor, right by the movie theaters. The entrance sign says "Lounge".

Parking is free for 3 hours.

Discussion: This week we will talk about evidence. This means we will do a bit of math (super basic Bayesian update example problems) to get a sense of how much weak evidence it takes to counter strong evidence, etc. This will certainly lead into discussion on how to do this in mathemtically intractable cases (basically, all of them), and probably into musing on what calculations we may have to reconsider in our own lives.

No foreknowledge or exposure to Less Wrong is necessary; this will be generally accessable and useful to anyone who values thinking for themselves. There will be open general conversation until 7:30, and that's always a lot of good, fun, intelligent discussion!

I will bring a whiteboard with Bayes' Theorem written on it.

Discussion article for the meetup : West LA Meetup - Strong Evidence, Weak Evidence

Meetup : West LA Meetup - Nootropics

1 nickernst 27 February 2013 05:06AM

Discussion article for the meetup : West LA Meetup - Nootropics

WHEN: 27 February 2013 07:00:00PM (-0800)

WHERE: 10850 West Pico Blvd, Los Angeles, CA 90064

When: 7:00pm Wednesday, February 27th.

Where: The Westside Tavern in the upstairs Wine Bar (all ages welcome), located inside the Westside Pavillion on the second floor, right by the movie theaters. The entrance sign says "Lounge".

Parking is free for 3 hours.

Discussion Topic: This week we will talk about Nootropics and other associated things. This will range from discussion of the biochemistry to evaluating efficacy and safety of such things. The objective isn't to say "chemicals are the best way to make me smart!", but rather "how can I tell if this or that chemical is worth my time and money as a means of fulfilling my goals?"

No foreknowledge or exposure to Less Wrong is necessary; this will be generally accessable and useful to anyone who values thinking for themselves. There will be open general conversation until 7:30, and that's always a lot of good, fun, intelligent discussion!

I will bring a whiteboard with Bayes' Theorem written on it.

Discussion article for the meetup : West LA Meetup - Nootropics

Meetup : West LA Meetup - Wits and Wagers

2 nickernst 29 January 2013 06:32AM

Discussion article for the meetup : West LA Meetup - Wits and Wagers

WHEN: 30 January 2013 07:00:00PM (-0800)

WHERE: 10850 West Pico Blvd, Los Angeles, CA 90064

When: 7:00pm Wednesday, January 30th.

Where: The Westside Tavern in the upstairs Wine Bar (all ages welcome), located inside the Westside Pavillion on the second floor, right by the movie theaters. The entrance sign says "Lounge".

Parking is free for 3 hours.

Game/Discussion: This week, we will play a fun board game which merits discussion! The game you will enjoy, and the discussion will cover probability, betting, and value of concensus as evidence.

No foreknowledge or exposure to Less Wrong is necessary; this will be generally accessable and useful to anyone who values thinking for themselves. There will be open general conversation until 7:30, and that's always a lot of good, fun, intelligent discussion!

I will bring a whiteboard with Bayes' Theorem written on it.

Discussion article for the meetup : West LA Meetup - Wits and Wagers

Comment author: nickernst 19 January 2013 02:50:35AM 0 points [-]

Sorry, I didn't notice this comment until just now. Usually, less than or equal to half of the table will have a single drink, two at most. Enough that people are comfortable and talkative, but not partying. Only once was someone ever drunk (and that was a game night). If you drink enough that you need to take the bus home, you will probably have drunk more than everyone else.

Meetup : West LA Meetup - Type 1 to Type 2 Bridging

2 nickernst 16 January 2013 06:35AM

Discussion article for the meetup : West LA Meetup - Type 1 to Type 2 Bridging

WHEN: 16 January 2013 07:00:00PM (-0800)

WHERE: 10850 West Pico Blvd, Los Angeles, CA 90064

Orion will be hosting this week's meetup, and asked me to post the following:

When: 7:00pm Wednesday, January 16th.

Where: The Westside Tavern in the upstairs Wine Bar (all ages welcome), located inside the Westside Pavillion on the second floor, right by the movie theaters. The entrance sign says "Lounge".

Parking is free for 3 hours.

Lecture/Discussion: This meetup will be oriented around building one of two systems: either escape hatches to require ourselves to fallback to deliberate decision making (Type 2 thinking) when it matters, or rebuilding our first-glance judgments (Type 1 thinking) to be heuristics that work better for our goals. Particularly of note are resources on the habit-forming, which while somewhat tangential, are generally interesting. See BJ Fogg on habits and Roy Baumeister on ego depletion for a general idea of the discussion topics.

No foreknowledge or exposure to Less Wrong is necessary; this will be generally accessable and useful to anyone who values thinking for themselves. There will be open general conversation until 7:30, and that's always a lot of good, fun, intelligent discussion!

Nick will bring a whiteboard with Bayes' Theorem written on it, and I'll generally swoop in to rescue anyone feeling particularly embarrassed about asking strangers if they're from Less Wrong (which is not at all embarrassing, so don't worry about asking!)

Discussion article for the meetup : West LA Meetup - Type 1 to Type 2 Bridging

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