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Have you tried Soylent? An e-commerce project selling it in Ukraine and i want to know, should i buy it or any alternatives. Thanks.
In response to
European Soylent alternatives
I've tasted soylent, and in the past I've had joylent and queal regularly. I don't remember if I found soylent pleasant or unpleasant, but I remember it seemed less tasty and with a worse texture (too gritty) than either of the others. I can't speak to any other factors.
(I'm pretty sure it wasn't as bad as queal's forest fruit flavour.)
A simple justification of a slightly less extreme position is easy enough: there were many sane people who did not predict the value of the internet, indicating that being sane and smart are not sufficient to predict such things.
There are plenty of quotes from people who were supposed to be experts (or at least well-educated) saything that heavier than air flight was impossible, computers would always be room-sized monstrosities of limited use, etc. I assume that this quote is pretty much the same idea (that future technology is unpredictable), but using a technology that is 1. more recent, and thus more relatable, and 2. not simply a matter of technology, but of adapted use; that is, most smart people might have guessed that the early internet could be made faster, webpages better, and the network more comprehensive. They simply didn't see the value that this would produce, and so assumed that technology would not move in that direction.
"Being sane and smart are not sufficient" is very different from "being insane is necessary".
Compare: "they didn't think heavier-than-air flight was possible - because they weren't fucking insane".
In response to
Rationality Quotes July 2016
They didn't anticipate what the Internet would become--because they weren't fucking insane...
Related: Stranger Than History.
I'm not sure what the lesson is here. A sane forecaster could never have been accurate? That seems like it would need some justification.
In response to
Diaspora roundup thread, 23rd June 2016
[Meta]
Update: I've received feedback, and I won't be posting links to TFP in this thread, or others, on LW.
Would it be below the bar for no-politics to post one or more links in this thread from The Future Primaeval (TFP)? Some of their posts are more overtly political or controversial than others, and the only ones posts from the site I'd link here are ones which make more direct reference to, e.g., the rationality community, metacognition, strategic thinking, etc., rather than having something to do with sociopolitics. Note: I'd prefer if those hostile to TFP links of LW would reply to this comment rather than downvoting it, but, that stated, downvotes without clarification will be treated as a negative response to my above question.
I'm not familiar with TFP. My gut reaction is that I'd consider links to non-political articles from them to be fine.
In response to
Diaspora roundup thread, 23rd June 2016
Ben Hoffman, Solve your problems by fantasizing
The problem with most goal-driven plans is that most goals are fake, and so are most plans. One way to fix this is to fantasize.
Diaspora roundup thread, 23rd June 2016
Guidelines: Top-level comments here should be links to things written by members of the rationalist community, preferably that have some particular interest to this community. Self-promotion is totally fine. Including a brief summary or excerpt is great, but not required. Generally stick to one link per top-level comment, so they can be voted on individually. Recent links are preferred.
Rule: Do not link to anyone who does not want to be linked to. In particular, Scott Alexander has asked people to get his permission, before linking to specific posts on his tumblr or in other out-of-the-way places.
In response to
Diaspora roundup thread, 15th June 2016
Re blocking roads: in this example If there are 9000 cars instead of 4000, the new road doesn't make any difference, and if there are more than 9000, the new road helps. With 10000 it brings commutes from 95 minutes to 90. With 20000 it brings them from 145 to 90.
And if there are 3000 cars, the original commute is 60 minutes and it remains 60; fewer than 3000, the new road is helpful.
As I understand it, this is true in general. If you add a road, it might slow things down within a certain level of demand (here, 3000-9000 cars), but outside that it will be either helpful or indifferent. Cite, but it's not open access and I don't remember how I got hold of the full paper.
In response to
Diaspora roundup thread, 15th June 2016
Ben Hoffman, Exploding the sociability binary
A lot of the discussion about introversion and extraversion seems to collapse a whole bunch of things into a single binary. When people point out that they’re not well-described by either term, they tend to come up with patches like “ambivert,” but this is a missed opportunity to develop a more granular understanding of sociability. There are enough tensions in the underlying definitions that I want to blow up those terms and replace them with more precisely defined axes along which people vary:
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Yvain did say that he was influenced by Moldbug.
I feel it's important to note that he was talking about writing styles, not philosophy.