Not a single person who took the LessWrong census believes that the chance that God exists is less than 1%.
I think you are misinterpreting the data.
Not a single person who took the LessWrong census believes that the chance that God exists is less than 1%.
I think you are misinterpreting the data.
I just glanced at Yvain's spreadsheet and it looks like 681 people gave probabilities less than 1% (AKA .01 as per survey formatting) and many of those entered simply 0 which couldn't be misinterpreted either way. With about a thousand responses, <1% is the most prominent response given. No idea what data the OP could be looking at.
a god, defined as a supernatural (see above) intelligent entity
From the previous question:
supernatural events, defined as those involving ontologically basic mental entities, have occurred since the beginning of the universe?
I'm not sure what would or would not qualify as an "ontologically basic mental entity". I'd need to look it up if you wanted me to tell you whether something does or does not deserve to be called "supernatural".
This is very important for the interpretation of the question. Could the operator of a universe simulation be considered an "ontologically basic mental entity"? I'm not sure, and i can't really remember exactly how i answered the question when i took the survey.
I want to point out that it is possible that some of these downvotes* could be honest assessments of a comment history. If a user notices you by reading one comment, that user might become interested in other comments you've written, and if this person didn't like one comment, he may also dislike other comments in which you express similar ideas.
* Which were not from me, because i have not read the conversation you linked to.
I say this because i realize that i have (arguably) done it before. I noticed a comment from one particular user which deserved to be downvoted. Then i read all the related conversations and downvoted the other comments in which that user repeated more or less the same thing. Then, i began reading earlier conversations in which that user had participated, and found that many of this user's comments were bad for similar reasons, but i did upvote about 10% of them that were good.
Overall, the user who had been downvoted saw a sudden karma drop within several minutes; they specifically made an accusation of retributive downvoting.
Long story short: on at least one occasion, a user who complained about mass downvoting was actually experiencing a rapid series of honest downvotes.
I finished the survey! Including the Unreasonably Long and Complicated part which i admit took even longer than i expected.
Typo: the first question of "Part Four: Views and Opinions" refers to the "US Labour Party".
Cheater. You can't give extra points to yourself.
I thought he was giving extra points to Eneasz.
I'd like to think that if Randall Munroe did a comic about LW, the humor would more specifically target LW.
Hear that, Randall? You need to lampoon us better next time!
I think you would also have to consider the effect on Thiel's income. It's possible (for instance) that Obama would increase his tax rate but also increase his income enough to cover this.
Since I think both Obama and Romney are proposing policies which are bad for the economy, and since I'm not really an expert in economic policy, I don't actually have a strong opinion on which how the election would affect Thiel's income. But it definitely must be considered.
consider the effect on Thiel's income
In that case I suppose we should let Thiel tell us who to vote for.
In what way does the comment become worse by virtue of containing a poll? You could equally say "wedrifid is a misshapen troll with no friends".
No, the poll is actually less bad. You see, your comment proposes:
wedrifid is ( misshapen AND a troll AND has no friends )
while the poll merely asserts
wedrifid is ( misshapen XOR a troll XOR has no friends )
Wedrifid got off pretty lightly, from this perspective.
With all the mental health issues coming up recently, I thought I'd link Depression Quest, a text simulation of what it's like to live with depression.
Trigger warning: Please read the introduction page thoroughly before clicking Start. If you are or have been depressed, continue at your own risk.
In the past I went through a period that felt like depression, though I never talked about it to anyone so of course I wasn't diagnosed at any point. I went against your warning and played the game. The protagonist started off with more social support than I did. I chose the responses that I think I would have given when I felt depressed. This resulted the protagonist never seeking therapy or medication, and what is labeled "endingZero".
Depression Quest seems accurate. Now I feel bad. (edit: But I did get better.)