Less Wrong comes to ManchVegas... I'll have to make one of these when I'm rich and famous.
Does modafinal literally eliminate akrasia for you? I need to get me some of that.
I think that was one factor Yvain mentioned. The other two I think are more damning to the whole idea of rationality as winning.
One is that most people who are successful are rational when they need to be in their field, without having to make a formal study and be rational all the time.
The other idea is that rationality is only a small small slice of what makes you successful, and that there are probably a ton of other factors that help even more.
One idea that Yvain didn't mention (and actually wrote a blog post arguing against) is that maybe rationality is a red queen game. The more you study it, the more tricky your mind gets at rationalizing it's irrationalities. That view is explored here: http://www.overcomingbias.com/2014/06/bias-is-a-red-queen-game.html
Yeah, that makes sense... I certainly know people that have spent a LOT of effort maintaining their randomly chosen viewpoint. Goes back to meme theory, memes are selected for ability to stick in the mind and remove other memes.
(I've never taken Modafinil, just thinking that there might be some chemical help for hunter-gatherer laziness).
I think the lumping of various disciplines into "science" is unhelpful in this context. It is reasonable to trust the results of the last round of experiments at the LHC far more than the occasional psychology paper that makes the news.
I've not seen this distinction made as starkly as I think it really needs to be made -- there is a lot of difference between physics and chemistry, where one can usually design experiments to test hypotheses; to geology and atmospheric science, where one mostly fits models to data that happens to be available; to psychology, where the results of experiments seem to be very inconsistent and publication bias is a major cause of false research results.
...and then on to any specific field which has political uses, where "publication bias" can reach Lysenko levels ;)
So just never studfy psychology and you won't go crazy. It all works out...
Buy this one for urban environments... it shows that you're not afraid of anything:
Yvain wrote an article on this: http://lesswrong.com/lw/9p/extreme_rationality_its_not_that_great/
Hmmm... so if akrasia/laziness is the only problem, then Modafinil solves everything?
In all seriousness and gullibility, I would expect that even a minor effort into rationality would have a large financial effect, even if you only exert it for five minutes a year when you're programming your IRA/40 whatever.
What do you mean 'we,' Paleface?
Ah, an Amerind AND a billionaire! So you must be... no one on this timeline ;)
Ah, I didn't know that. I'm telomere-challenged myself (Unless astragalosides actually work, in which case I now have some other problem).
Hurry up and billionairize yourselves.... <voice of Professor Farnsworth> and stop believing your elders, you morons.
There is an Indian mosquito species whose larva eat other mosquito larva. Developing more variants (e.g. cold hardy) of that species could suppress other mosquitoes to a degree.
To generate political support for exterminating mosquitoes that bite people, we should spread a rumor that besides killing 725,000 humans each year, this insect also threatens a few cute Zimbabwe lions.
Excellent idea! And it's probably true... at least some insect that looks similar must be bad for lions....
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There are few places, and certainly not the US, where too little of society's resources are consumed by politics.
But therefore, in the US at least, action to remove parts of society from politics can be very effective altruism. E.g., the citizen watchdog group NHLA in New Hampshire that targets corporate welfare and other parasitic programs (e.g. the Drug War). They spend very little money (about 40K per year), but have an outsize effect on policy.
nhliberty.org