All of AcurB's Comments + Replies

AcurB30

I have to admit, reading things like this I can't help but be put at ease, somewhat. I almost feel AI alarmism leaving my body. 

Here's my guess why that happens: rat-sphere bloggers are the ones responsible for me treating AI threat seriously. Seeing how someone smart enough to post here get so....carried away, deciding to post it, and getting not lighthearted ridicule but upvotes and the usual "AGI around the corner" chatter reminds me that this community is still made of mere people, and worrying about AI is partly a cultural norm here, a meme. It a... (read more)

AcurB30

Does this analogy work, though? 

It makes sense that you can get brand new sentences or brand new images that can even serve some purpose using ML but is it creativity? That raises the question of what is creativity in the first place and that's whole new can of worms. You give me an example of how Bing can write poems that were not in the dataset, but poem writing is a task that can be quite straightforwardly formalized, like collection of lines which end on alternating syllables or something, but "write me a poem about sunshine and butterflies" is cl... (read more)

AcurB30

>If you get strongly superhuman LLMs, you can trivially accelerate scientific progress on agentic forms of AI like Reinforcement Learning by asking it to predict continuations of the most cited AI articles of 2024, 2025, etc.

Question that might be at the heart of the issue is what is needed for AI to produce genuinely new insights. As a layman, I see how LM might become even better at generating human-like text, might become super-duper good at remixing and rephrasing things it "read" before, but hit a wall when it comes to reaching AGI. Maybe to get ge... (read more)

4Razied
That would be quite fortunate, and I really really hope that this is case, but scientific articles are part of the human-like text that the model can be trained to predict. You can ask Bing AI to write you a poem, you can ask its opinion on new questions that it has never seen before, and you will get back coherent answers that were not in its dataset. The bitter lesson of Generative Image models and LLMs in the past few years is that creativity requires less special sauce than we might think. I don't see a strong fundamental barrier to extending the sort of creativity chatGPT exhibits right now to writing math & ML papers.
AcurB10

"Recently, a group of Russian biohackers recently performed..."

Just reporting a little mistake here.

Good overview.

1JackH
Thank-you, fixed.