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alexey20

I mostly agree, but it's a double-digit percent increase in bankruptcies which ends up being (from the post)

about 4bps (0.04%)/year of additional bankruptcies

alexey107

But, crucially, if one product is not available, then these people will very likely form an addiction to something else. That is what 'addictive personality disorder' means.

Except whatever they got addicted to before the legalization of online sports betting, it apparently led to much lower bankruptcy rates etc. 

I feel that the discourse has quietly assumed a fabricated option: if these people can't gamble then they will be happy unharmed non-addicts.

This post isn't quietly assuming something: it's loudly giving evidence that they will be much less harmed.

alexey10

Do you expect anyone to answer "agree" to the starting question?

alexey10

Bywayeans are pretty censorious and scrupulous about violations of the NAP

Except against people who enjoy sunsets, apparently?

alexey10

He’d walk on over to nearby industry labs with candy and a sales pitch for why they should use his services. He primarily targeted top, Nobel-prize-winning research groups

and

Plasmidsaurus has historically done very little ‘traditional’ marketing — no brochures, few cold reach-outs

seem to be a bit contradictory?

alexey10

If people followed Brennan’s advice, those ignorant of their lack of knowledge would keep voting, while well-educated people might think they’re not competent enough and abstain.

I'd add that people ignorant enough not to know or not to understand Brennan's argument would also keep voting.

alexey10

Was this post significantly edited? Because this seems to be exactly the take in the post from the start:

because he thought it wasn't bad enough to be considered torture. Then he had it tried on himself, and changed his mind, coming to believe it is torture and should not be performed.

to the end

This is supported by Malcom's claim that Hitchens was "a proponent of torture", which is clearly false going by Christopher's public articles on the subject. The question is only over whether Hitchens considered waterboarding to be a form of torture, and therefore permissible or not, which Malcolm seems to have not understood.

alexey10

It’s absurd to end up with a framework that believes a life for a woman in Saudi Arabia is just as good as life for a woman in some other country with similarly high per capita income.

You could similarly argue a life for a woman in Saudi Arabia is worse than for a man, but it seems absurd to conclude from that that saving lives of SA men is better than saving lives of SA women.

Whether you save a life in Congo, Sri Lanka or Australia, I can’t think of strong reasons for why #2 would vary all that much.

It seems to me there are obvious differences: 1. family size (in the limit, the saved person may have no family at all); 2. how expected the person's death is otherwise.

alexey10

But you aren't asked about (your current estimate of your prior). If you want to put it in this way, it would be , your current estimate of your previous estimate. And you do have exact knowledge what that estimate was.

alexey72

Here is a counter-argument against Rovelli I found reasonable: Aristotle and Falling Objects | Diagonal Argument

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