Nick Szabo writes about the dangers of taking assumptions that are valid in small, self-contained games and applying them to larger, real-world "games," a practice he calls a small-game fallacy. > Interactions between small games and large games infect most works of game theory, and much of microeconomics, often rendering...
Writing about technological revolutions, Y Combinator president Sam Altman warns about the dangers of AI and bioengineering (discussion on Hacker News): > Two of the biggest risks I see emerging from the software revolution—AI and synthetic biology—may put tremendous capability to cause harm in the hands of small groups, or...
Related: Common failure modes in habit formation I ran across this bit of pop-sci (a review of Jeremy Dean's Making Habits, Breaking Habits), which claims that habits typically take around 66 days to form, not the 21 days that self-help articles tend to cite. The somewhat surprising thing to me,...
Since Simpson's Paradox has been discussed here recently (and not so recently), I thought I'd share this interactive1 infographic that I found via the FlowingData blog. I already understood Simpson's Paradox pretty well, but playing with the sliders helped me get a more intuitive feel for it. I expect similar...
Cross-posted to my blog. I expect this will be of some interest to the LessWrong community both because of previous interest in N-back and because of the opportunity to apply Bayesian statistics to a real-world problem. The main reason I'm writing this article is to get feedback on my approach...
Link > Within two or three decades the difference between automated driving and human driving will be so great you may not be legally allowed to drive your own car, and even if you are allowed, it would immoral of you to drive, because the risk of you hurting yourself...