All of chemotaxis101's Comments + Replies

In order to reach a level of entertainment as near as possible to the one provided by poker tournaments you should consider building a prediction game having at least two characteristics:

1) Restricted to low-stakes events (consequences of the outcomes are minimal and affect only a small set of parties; ideally within an artificial environment rather than real world events).

2) The timeframe should be reduced to a single day.

0chaosmage
In that type of scenario, I think it is hard to avoid a situation where domain knowledge dominates rational handling of evidence. It might be better, I don't know. Could you describe in more detail what kind of game you're imagining? I'm slightly biased against it because this seems even more like gambling. Specifically, like sports betting. And as soon as you involve prizes, it'll be hard to avoid being subject to gambling legislation.

Thanks! (Probably it was just a temporary issue.)

Dynamic choice in a complex world

Murali Agastya, Arkadii Slinko

Journal of Economic Theory July 2015, Vol.158:232–258

doi:10.1016/j.jet.2015.04.001

(I'm sorry: Libgen seems to be currently out of reach.)

4gwern
Libgen seemed to work fine for this: http://sci-hub.org/downloads/7c30/10.1016@j.jet.2015.04.001.pdf

Note that what I'm going to diclose is the fact I have Asperger's, rather than the underlying (unrelated) reasons for the gap in my resume.

My autistic daughter is also intellectually disabled. She needs lots of special care, often on a difficult-to-predict basis. It was especially so in the first years following her official diagnosis. Not sure if it's a good thing to mention this, though: I'm afraid the employer could take this as evidence that there's a significant risk that I could some day descend into a poor productivity phase (or even another leave, at no notice). It may also be the case someone could take all this as a positive, by correlating it to a potential underlying disposition o... (read more)

6James_Miller
You might want to try a mixed strategy where you reveal different information to different potential employers. Since you only want one job, you would likely gain by this variance increasing strategy.

Just for sharing an unpretentious but (IMO) interesting post from a blog I regularly read.

In commenting on an article about the results of an experiment aimed at "simulating" a specific case of traumatic brain injury and measuring its supposed effects on solving a particularly difficult problem, economist/game theorist Jeffrey Ely asked whether a successful intervention could ever be designed to give people certain unusual, circumstantially useful skills.

It could be that we have a system that takes in tons of sensory information all of which is

... (read more)
2gwern
Isn't TMS famous for 'inducing savant-like abilities'?

Incidentally, the blog InDecision has just published - as part of its "Research Heroes" series - a brief interview with the above-cited experimental psychologist Jonathan Baron (one of his books was described as "a more focused and balanced introduction to the subject of rationality than the Sequences" in one of Vaniver's much-useful summaries) and he stressed again his position that "rational thinking is both learnable and part of intelligence itself."

I'd recommend using Blogtrottr for turning the content from your RSS feeds into email messages. Indeed, as email is (incidentally) the only web-related tool I can (and must) consistently use throughout the day, I tend to bring a major part of the relevant web content I'm interested in to my email inbox - including twitter status updates, LW Discussion posts, etc.

I suppose he's interested in generally discussing the above-mentioned point.

0diegocaleiro
The third alternative of course.

Trying to get a job and noticing more accurately what the market looks like [I'd be glad if someone pointed to the article in which willnewsome talks about making money, circa 2010]

(Virtual) Employment Open Thread

2diegocaleiro
Thanks! Edited.

1) Aided and unaided decision making: improving intuitive judgement. Journal of Forecasting. Volume 1, Issue 4, pages 349–363, October/December 1982.

2) Cognitive biases and decision support systems development: a design science approach. Information Systems Journal. Volume 16, Issue 1, pages 55–78, January 2006.

3) Cognitive biases in the use of computer-based decision support systems. Omega. Volume 17, Issue 4, 1989, Pages 335–344.

4) Debiasing investors with decision support systems: an experimental investigation. Decision Support Systems. Volume 46, Issue... (read more)

7boredstudent
I found 1
7beriukay
I could only get 2 and 4.
5boredstudent
This?