glauberdebona

Introduction Recently, the Computational No-Coincidende Conjecture[1] was proposed, presented as an assumption that might be needed to develop methods to explain neural nets in the current approach from the Alignment Research Center. In this post, I will prove that some plausible extra assumption can be used to amplify the conjecture,...

This post does not propose a solution to the Sleeping Beauty problem, but presents arguments based on accuracy for thirders, halfers and double-halfers. A more detailed draft paper can be found here. Summary Accuracy-based arguments claim that one should plan to adopt posterior credences that maximize the expected (according to...