I think Alibaba has not made any crazy developments yet. So let's consider DeepSeek. I think almost nobody had heard of DeepSeek before v3. Before v3, predicting strong AI progress in China would probably sound like "some AI lab in China will appear from nowhere and do something great. I don't know who or what or when or where, but it will happen soon." That was roughly my opinion, at least in my memory. Maybe making that kind of prediction does not match the tastes of people who are good at predicting things? Awfully vague claim to make I guess.
There was time between v3 and r1 where folks could have more loudly commented DeepSeek was ascendant. What would this have accomplished? I suppose it would have shown some commitment to truth and awareness of reality. I am guessing people who are against the international AI race are a bit lazy to point out stuff that would accelerate the race. I guess at some point the facts can't be avoided.
So unbelievably convenient I don't even believe it
Could you do all the research on a boat in the ocean? Excuse the naive question.
Women/girls with big heads tend to hit their heads but you can solve that with bigger arms.
use of a genotyping pipeline poorly suited to ancient DNA which meant that 80% of the genetic variants they "analysed" were likely completely artefactual and did not exist.
Brutal!! I didn't know this gotcha existed. I hope there aren't too many papers silently gotch'd by it. Sounds like the type of error that could easily be widespread and unnoticed, if the statistical trace it leaves isn't always obvious.
To dumb it down a bit, here's my made up example: you get +1 IQ if your brain has surplus oxygen in the blood flowing through it. There's 1000 ways to get a bit more oxygen in there, but with +1000 oxygen, you still only get +1 IQ.
Is that the idea?
Good point! I didn't think that far ahead
23andMe (and all their data) seems to be for sale at a cheap discount.