All of Lotus Cobra's Comments + Replies

Is Humbali right that generic uncertainty about maybe being wrong, without other extra premises, should increase the entropy of one's probability distribution over AGI, thereby moving out its median further away in time?

 

I'll give the homework a shot.

Entropy is the amount of uncertainty inherent in your probability distribution, so generic uncertainty implies an increase in the entropy of one's probability distribution (whatever the eventual result is, it provides you more information than if would have if you were more certain beforehand). However, I

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1Peter Chatain

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