ASK A DOCTOR. Seriously, that should be the default for any medical question. If you're worried that the doctor won't have a Bayesian perspective, well, go see one anyway. They're not going to force you to get the shot, and you'll get the information necessary for you to do the Bayesian calculation.
Consider alternatives such as flying to Germany to get the shots. Take into account how you would feel if you don't get the shots and worry that you might have rabies.
There's an open thread for this kind of thing. Also, there are plenty of people online with actual legit medical training. It would be better to ask them than us.
ASK A DOCTOR. Seriously, that should be the default for any medical question. If you're worried that the doctor won't have a Bayesian perspective, well, go see one anyway. They're not going to force you to get the shot, and you'll get the information necessary for you to do the Bayesian calculation.
There's an open thread for this kind of thing. Also, there are plenty of people online with actual legit medical training. It would be better to ask them than us.
I hope you don't die horribly. :-)