All of MattPrather's Comments + Replies

By the way, I am uncertain as to how to think about the quantification (number / proportion / "ballpark estimate") of real people who fit the concept of Russel's "wiser people", or Yeats' "best".

How far off would I be if I were to estimate the quantity of such wiser and better people as "less than one third of the population of any given tribe" ?

Is anyone brave enough to say it should be thought of as a drastically smaller quantity?

Is anyone brave enough to realize how much they themselves actually fit the descriptio... (read more)

3mattnewport
I'm quite comfortable to ballpark < 5%.

I am new to the site in the sense that last week I didn't know the names of anyone who posts here, but I have been putting in the time to try to "catch up" on the issues that current posters and commenters think important.

As the top-scoring post is currently about the limitations of generalizing from one's own mind, I thought Alicorn was quite savvy to admit she was predicating her post upon lots of gooey self-exposure, and that admission primed me to read the rest of the post must less skeptically.

Even as posters may most often strive to say th... (read more)

"The whole problem with the world is that fools and fanatics are always so certain of themselves, but wiser people so full of doubts." -- Bertrand Russell

6mattnewport
I prefer Yeats' phrasing:

Thanks for sharing the new name and/or new idea about this Ugh Field.

At first I skimmed your paper, but I soon decided to read it word-for-word.

As I read it, I scanned my memories (primarily of my life, but also of the lives of people I had known) looking through a filter for where the putative Ugh Field concept could increase my understanding of life.

What I have to report for now is I think I shall keep the idea in my head and wait until I see the Ugh (Barrier) "happening" to myself or someone else in real life. I like doing field experiments in the field of rationality.

You're killin' me, Smalls!

  1. I'll admit my own ignorance concerning whatever "quantum immortality" and "multiverse" mean.

  2. If this was the TV show "Jeopardy!" and for the Daily Double I was supposed to tell the name of the Law which proves in the textbook that we would almost certainly die for lack of resources, even if we could live forever -- if I was really there -- I would probably guess "The Second Law?", and then pray...

  3. I'm no Einstein, but at least I know the textbooks alone do not suffice to carry any infere

... (read more)
0DanielLC
Do you have anything including theory to prove that your mind isn't fundamentally doomed? There is plenty of evidence for the second law of thermodynamics. Every time we perform an experiment in which entropy is recorded, there's some chance we notice a decrease. Every time we don't, it's evidence that it just doesn't happen. We've done so many experiments that we can accurately predict what the result of a given experiment will be. Every function used is one-to-one. Once the information is out there, there's nothing we can do to delete it. The universe will only hold so much information.

The point is that none of us is rational.

Dorian Gray never aged because he had a magic picture of himself which actually aged for him; his image in the portrait got older and older even as he himself stayed the same age.

So a true rationalist would have a magic picture of himself "being irrational", as humans do, in his stead.

Do we have to be so literal? I like it better with the "indeed it would"...