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Max Ghenis — LessWrong

Max Ghenis

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Max Ghenis

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GiveCalc: Open-source tool to calculate the true cost of charitable giving

This is an update to our original GiveCalc announcement from last year. TL;DR: GiveCalc is a free, open-source calculator that computes how charitable donations affect your taxes. It runs full tax simulations to account for interactions between donations, deductions, and credits. Supports US federal/state taxes and UK Gift Aid. What...

Dec 2, 2025•5

Using Narrative Prompting to Extract Policy Forecasts from LLMs

Testing Cross-Model Consistency in Economic and Policy Predictions Building on Pham & Cunningham (2024)'s findings on narrative-prompted predictions, I conducted a large-scale experiment comparing how different LLMs forecast economic and policy outcomes under different electoral scenarios. GPT-4o, GPT-4o-mini, and Grok all projected better outcomes under a Harris administration than a...

Nov 5, 2024•5