A game about paperclips.
Your job, should you choose to accept it, is to comment on this thread explaining the most awesome thing you've done this month. You may be as blatantly proud of yourself as you feel. You may unabashedly consider yourself the coolest freaking person ever because of that awesome thing you're...
Your job, should you choose to accept it, is to comment on this thread explaining the most awesome thing you've done this month. You may be as blatantly proud of yourself as you feel. You may unabashedly consider yourself the coolest freaking person ever because of that awesome thing you're...
Your job, should you choose to accept it, is to comment on this thread explaining the most awesome thing you've done this month. You may be as blatantly proud of yourself as you feel. You may unabashedly consider yourself the coolest freaking person ever because of that awesome thing you're...
The 2006 report from NASA's "Independent Verification and Validation Facility" makes some interesting claims. Turning to page 6, we learn that thanks to IV&V, "NASA realized a software rework risk reduction benefit of $1.6 Billion in Fiscal Year 2006 alone". This is close to 10% of NASA's overall annual budget,...
Over at Edge, Tetlock discusses "expert political judgment", the controversy surrounding Nate Silver's presidential predictions, overconfidence, motivated cognition, black swans, the IARPA forecasting contest, and much else. A few choice bits: > There's a question that I've been asking myself for nearly three decades now and trying to get a...