All of Nutrition Capsule's Comments + Replies

For fun, I tried this out with Deepseek today. First went a single round (Deepseek defected, as did I). Then I prompted it with a 10-round game, which we completed one by one - I had my choices prepared before each round, and asked Deepseek to tell its choice first so as not to influence it otherwise.

I cooperated during the first and fifth rounds, and Deepseek defected each time. When I asked it to elaborate its strategy, Deepseek replied that it was not aware whether it could trust me, so it thought the safest course of action was to defect each time. It ... (read more)

As for a specific group of people resistant to peer pressure - psychopaths. Psychopaths don't conform to peer pressure easily - or any kind of pressure, for that matter. Many of them are in fact willing to murder, sit in jail, or otherwise become very ostracized if it aligns with whatever goals they have in mind. I'd wager that the fact that a large percentage of psychopaths literally end up jailed speaks for itself - they just don't mind the consequences that much.

This is easily explained due to psychopaths being fearless and mostly lacking empathy. As fa... (read more)

Hanson seems to treat the global civilization as a cultural melting pot, but he does distinguish insular subcultures from that. I intuit he sees contemporary cultures on a gradient relative to global, hegemonic trends (which correlate with technological progress, increasing wealth and education) and thereby drifting pressures.

I wouldn't equate Robin's perspectives on culture with reactionary movements or conservatism. If anything, he seems quite open to radical transformations of society (e.g. futarchy to replace parlamentarism, bounty systems and vouching to replace policing, private insurance policies to replace welfare policies etc.).

Whereas (neo-)reactionary / conservative thought simply often intends to return some previous status quo, Robin does not confess to representing such views and has not proposed such solutions. In fact, as far as I'm aware he hasn't proposed any ... (read more)

Very good! Hoping to see - weakly intending to commit - a post list of his latest boom (fertility decline, which lead him to culture). I attended one of Robin's Zoom meetings on culture, and I'm confident it is on par with his other great fixations thus far (prediction markets, signaling, ems and aliens) if not even bigger. Robin seems absolutely possessed by the phenomenon.

For those who do not follow him: Robin has begun seeing culture as broken/maladaptive, and he seems to think this is perhaps the key issue of our time, on par or bigger than climate cha... (read more)

I interpreted Eliezer as writing from the assumption that the superintelligence(s) in question are in fact not already aligned to maximize whatever it is that humanity needs to survive, but some other goal(s), which diverge from humanity's interests once implemented.

He explicitly states that the essay's point is to shoot down a clumsy counterargument (along "it wouldn't cost the ASI a lot to let us live, so we should assume they'd let us live"). So the context (I interpret) is that such requests, however sympathetic, have not been ingrained into the ASI:s ... (read more)

My understanding goes along similar lines, so I'm not highly doubtful. If anything, I've had the idea that the risk of developmental disorders and miscarriage, difficulties in getting pregnant and some pregnancy related issues might begin rising substantially much sooner than in one's 30s.

To me it seems that the overwhelming majority of children conceived even after 35 are all healthy and fine. That is, >99% on autism, >98% on chromosome disorders. The risk of miscarriage is relevant. All these considered, I believe this evidence means people should ... (read more)

Thanks for the post. A layperson here, little to no technical knowledge, no high-g-mathematical-knowitall-superpowers. I highly appreciate this forum and the abilities of the people writing here. Differences in opinion are likely due to me misunderstanding something.

As for examples or thought experiments on specific mechanisms behind humanity losing a war against an AI or several AIs cooperating, I often find them too specific or unnecessarily complicated. I understand the point is simply to point out that a vast number of possible, and likely easy ways to... (read more)