All of oseiler's Comments + Replies

That pretty much confirms my own impressions, though I'm still pretty pessimistic about how things will go here (in BC where I am, and in Canada generally). I'm willing to be pleasantly surprised, though. Right now it feels like there might be some wishful thinking going on, though I have no specific reason to believe that the vaccination forecasts are wrong, except for things like the Pfizer delays and that we haven't much exceeded 40,000 doses per day for well over a month (https://covid19tracker.ca/vaccinationtracker.html); this doesn't look like we're ... (read more)

2MalcolmOcean
Huh yeah, weird. It's like, what are they waiting for with AstraZeneca? It is worth noting that I think ~40,000 doses per day is according to plan at this phase, a plan which calls for like a million doses a week as of the start of April. Which sounds like a lot but is still way too slow! (A million a day would be awesome.) But the failure to ramp up continues to be a failure of intending to ramp up, it seems. I'll be quite concerned if we fail to ramp up to even the unambitious levels planned for April. I don't know to what extent useful prep is happening to ensure that we're ready to go hard once we get more doses.

What I'd expect to see to scale up getting needles in arms (off the top of my head):

  • All major population centers with multiple vaccination centers (temporary tents, school gyms, etc)
    • Should go without saying that these places should be very strict about masks, distancing, ventilation, etc.
  • Drop-in vaccinations allowed, forcing appointments shouldn't be a high priority
    • but make it easy to see delays
    • delays mean you probably don't have enough vaccination centers
    • quickly built appointment and tracking systems will themselves fail enough to slow down vaccinations;
... (read more)
1crl826
  Along with all the points you brought up, "fairness" is also where politics gets involved and slows things down. In extreme cases, people destroyed vaccines rather than give them to someone that jumped the line.  https://www.nytimes.com/2021/01/10/nyregion/new-york-vaccine-guidelines.html