Thank you Catherio and friends for this incredible work, and the generosity of sharing it. It is super helpful
I have a question: I'm wondering how to reason about the nonlinearity of risk vs group size?
The model assumes risk and group size have a linear relationship, i.e. it is 10x more risky to do an activity with 10x more people.
I don't know how well this approximation holds. Yes, if there are 10x more average people at a party, then there are 10x more infected people. But I may not have meaningfully interactions (e.g. shared airspace) with the...
I wanted to loop back to this post to say Thank You! for the microcovid project. I wrote up a case study of how we used it.