Imagine a dog-fighting ring. An arena, somewhere in a dark basement; two dogs enter; one dog leaves. Brutal and horrific, of course; but, human nature being as it is, it draws crowds. One night in the ring the match-up is this: on one side, a Chihuaha; on the other side,...
(This is a series of comments that has been turned into a post.) The context The following exchange is context for the questions at the end of this post. (Quote blocks in italics are from me; quote blocks in non-italics are from another user.) (Scroll down to the next section...
In this comment thread on the 2021 post “A Defense of Functional Decision Theory”, @So8res wrote: > ...Also, just to be clear, you’re aware that these are two different internally-consistent but contradictory theories of how to evaluate counterfactuals? Like, we can be pretty confident that there’s no argument a CDT...
(This is a series of comments that have been turned into a post.) In the field of usability engineering, there are two kinds of usability evaluations: formative and summative. Formative evaluations are done as early as possible. Not just “before the product is shipped”, but before it’s in beta, or...
(This is a comment that has been turned into a post.) I have seen much talk on Less Wrong of “development stages” and “Kegan” and so forth. Naturally I am skeptical; so I do endorse any attempt to figure out if any of this stuff is worth anything. To aid...
(This is a comment that has been turned into a post.) The standard rationalist view is that beliefs ought properly to be determined by the facts, i.e. the belief “snow is white” is true iff snow is white. Contrariwise, it is sometimes claimed (in the context of discussions about “postrationalism”)...
> Gwern is a pseudonymous researcher and writer. He was one of the first people to see LLM scaling coming. If you've read his blog, you know he's one of the most interesting polymathic thinkers alive. > > In order to protect Gwern's anonymity, I proposed interviewing him in person,...