Hmm, apologies if this mostly based on vibes. My read of this is that this is not strong evidence either way. I think that of the excerpt, there are two bits of potentially important info:
Old lurker new account! Need to go work soon so very very quick high-level thoughts:
I feel like we feel some of the same frustration at mainstream/western EA, or others alignment speculaters without a deep understanding of China. I can crudely gesture at their wrong inferences sourcing from assumptions orthogonal to the truth, implying fundamental misconceptions in their model, but in the end it comes down to context: much of this is sub-verbal subtle differences that I can succinctly identify without putting in a few months of effort first. Often when I t...
Thanks for that. The "the fate of all mankind" line really throws me. without this line, everything I said above applies. Its existence (assuming that it exists, specificly refers to AI, and Xi really means it) is some evidence towards him thinking that it's important. I guess it just doesn't square with the intuitions I've built for him as someone not particularly bright or sophisiticated. Being convinced by good arguments does not seem to be one of his strong suits.
Edit: forgot to mention that I tried and failed to find the text of the guide itself.