Not Buck but I think it does unless of course they Saw Something and decided that safety efforts weren't going to work. The essay seems to hinge on safety people being able to make models safer, which sounds plausible but I'm sure they already knew that. Given their insider information and conclusions about their ability to make a positive impact, then it seems less plausible that their safety efforts would succeed. Maybe whether or not someone has already quit is an indication of how impactful their safety work is. It also varies by lab, with OpenAI havin... (read more)
Not Buck but I think it does unless of course they Saw Something and decided that safety efforts weren't going to work. The essay seems to hinge on safety people being able to make models safer, which sounds plausible but I'm sure they already knew that. Given their insider information and conclusions about their ability to make a positive impact, then it seems less plausible that their safety efforts would succeed. Maybe whether or not someone has already quit is an indication of how impactful their safety work is. It also varies by lab, with OpenAI havin... (read more)