All of sundar's Comments + Replies

My thought process would go like this, 999 is the number that will win this contest. This is common knowledge, others might also be choosing the same and hence likely to be eliminated. The next number I should choose is 998. But this is common knowledge too, others might also be thinking on similar lines. 998 is likely to be eliminated. So, I should go back to 999. But, what if this is common knowledge too? So, to win I need to eliminate both, 999 and 998, and go with the next number 997. But, what if? This can spiral down all the way to 1. By this reasoning, is it better to stick with 999?

some of these skills can be explained to a much younger audience (catch them young), in the form of stories, one such story made up for my daughter,

               As the Sun rose, the whole forest was filled with loud but sweet chatter of the squirrels chirping, as all the little ones were busy getting ready for school. Squeaky, the youngest among them, a very energetic and clever guy, was also gentle and kind, hence was adored by all the squirrels in the forest.

Squeaky enjoyed school very much and was always the first to get there. He loved what he lea... (read more)

Skill :

1. well-calibrated confidence (Do I understand as well as I think I do?)
2. correctly-anticipated regret (How will I react if things turn out to be wrong?) two factors that characterize good decisions.

rationality outreach?? how about starting first with one's family, our kids (in this case, my daughter) I have been thinking about this, and since I could not find any such efforts elsewhere, then decided to make up short stories on my own, from ideas on LW and tried to put these concepts to her in a manner that she would understand. 'to raise the sanity waterline" I decided to start with her.