This is a later better version of the problem in this post. This problem emerged from my work in the "Deconfusing Commitment Races" project under the Supervised Program for Alignment Research (SPAR), led by James Faville. I'm grateful to SPAR for providing the intellectual environment and to James Faville personally...
Epistemic status: I'm pretty sure the problem is somewhat interesting, because it temporarily confused several smart people. I'm not at all sure that it is very original; probably somebody has already thought about something similar. I'm not at all sure that I have actually found a flaw in UDT, but...
I hope it has some educational, memetic or at least humorous potential. Newcomb's problemSmoking lesionParfit's HitchhikerCounterfactual muggingXor-blackmail Bonus Five-and-ten problem
Epistemic status: I am confused and trying to become less confused. So, our shepherd community noticed the wolf. It's a small wolf, about the size of a chihuahua, and is unlikely to cause any serious damage. Should we cry "wolf"? Possible arguments against crying "wolf" 1. When someone cries "wolf",...
This is a test chapter of the project described here. When the project is completed in its entirety, this chapter will most likely be the second one. We want to create a sequence that a fifteen or sixteen year old smart school student can read and that can encourage them...
Disclaimer: My English isn't very good, but do not dissuade me on this basis - the sequence itself will be translated by a professional translator. I want to create a sequence that a fifteen or sixteen year old smart school student can read and that can encourage them to go...