[Cross-post] Is the Fermi Paradox due to the Flaw of Averages?
[This article is copy-pasted from the Lumina blog, very lightly edited for LessWrong.] Where is everybody? — Enrico Fermi The omnipresence of uncertainty is part of why making predictions and decisions is so hard. We at Lumina advocate treating uncertainty explicitly in our models using probability distributions. Sadly this is...
Jan 18, 202342