sarahconstantin

Wiki Contributions

Comments

Sorted by

links 10/30/2024: https://roamresearch.com/#/app/srcpublic/page/10-30-2024

 

"weak benevolence isn't fake": https://roamresearch.com/#/app/srcpublic/page/ic5Xitb70

  • there's a class of statements that go like:
    • "fair-weather friends" who are only nice to you when it's easy for them, are not true friends at all
    • if you don't have the courage/determination to do the right thing when it's difficult, you never cared about doing the right thing at all
    • if you sometimes engage in motivated cognition or are sometimes intellectually lazy/sloppy, then you don't really care about truth at all
    • if you "mean well" but don't put in the work to ensure that you're actually making a positive difference, then your supposed "well-meaning" intentions were fake all along
  • I can see why people have these views.
    • if you actually need help when you're in trouble, then "fair-weather friends" are no use to you
    • if you're relying on someone to accomplish something, it's not enough for them to "mean well", they have to deliver effectively, and they have to do so consistently. otherwise you can't count on them.
    • if you are in an environment where people constantly declare good intentions or "well-meaning" attitudes, but most of these people are not people you can count on, you will find yourself caring a lot about how to filter out the "posers" and "virtue signalers" and find out who's true-blue, high-integrity, and reliable.
  • but I think it's literally false and sometimes harmful to treat "weak"/unreliable good intentions as absolutely worthless.
    • not all failures are failures to care enough/try hard enough/be brave enough/etc.
      • sometimes people legitimately lack needed skills, knowledge, or resources!
      • "either I can count on you to successfully achieve the desired outcome, or you never really cared at all" is a long way from true.
      • even the more reasonable, "either you take what I consider to be due/appropriate measures to make sure you deliver, or you never really cared at all" isn't always true either!
        • some people don't know how to do what you consider to be due/appropriate measures
        • some people care some, but not enough to do everything you consider necessary
        • sometimes you have your own biases about what's important, and you really want to see people demonstrate a certain form of "showing they care" otherwise you'll consider them negligent, but that's not actually the most effective way to increase their success rate
    • almost everyone has a finite amount of effort they're willing to put into things, and a finite amount of cost they're willing to pay. that doesn't mean you need to dismiss the help they are willing and able to provide.
      • as an extreme example, do you dismiss everybody as "insufficiently committed" if they're not willing to die for the cause? or do you accept graciously if all they do is donate $50?
      • "they only help if it's fun/trendy/easy/etc" -- ok, that can be disappointing, but is it possible you should just make it fun/trendy/easy/etc? or just keep their name on file in case a situation ever comes up where it is fun/trendy/easy and they'll be helpful then?
    • it's harmful to apply this attitude to yourself, saying "oh I failed at this, or I didn't put enough effort in to ensure a good outcome, so I must literally not care about ideals/ethics/truth/other people."
      • like...you do care any amount. you did, in fact, mean well.
        • you may have lacked skill;
        • you may have not been putting in enough effort;
        • or maybe you care somewhat but not as much as you care about something else
        • but it's probably not accurate or healthy to take a maximally-cynical view of yourself where you have no "noble" motives at all, just because you also have "ignoble" motives (like laziness, cowardice, vanity, hedonism, spite, etc).
          • if you have a flicker of a "good intention" to help people, make the world a better place, accomplish something cool, etc, you want to nurture it, not stomp it out as "probably fake".
          • your "good intentions" are real and genuinely good, even if you haven't always followed through on them, even if you haven't always succeeded in pursuing them.
          • you don't deserve "credit" for good intentions equal to the "credit" for actually doing a good thing, but you do deserve any credit at all.
          • basic behavioral "shaping" -- to get from zero to a complex behavior, you have to reward very incremental simple steps in the right direction.
            • e.g. if you wish you were "nicer to people", you may have to pat yourself on the back for doing any small acts of kindness, even really "easy" and "trivial" ones, and notice & make part of your self-concept any inclinations you have to be warm or helpful.
            • "I mean well and I'm trying" has to become a sentence you can say with a straight face. and your good intentions will outpace your skills so you have to give yourself some credit for them.
    • it may be net-harmful to create a social environment where people believe their "good intentions" will be met with intense suspicion.
      • it's legitimately hard to prove that you have done a good thing, particularly if what you're doing is ambitious and long-term.
      • if people have the experience of meaning well and trying to do good but constantly being suspected of insincerity (or nefarious motives), this can actually shift their self-concept from "would-be hero" to "self-identified villain"
        • which is bad, generally
          • at best, identifying as a villain doesn't make you actually do anything unethical, but it makes you less effective, because you preemptively "brace" for hostility from others instead of confidently attracting allies
          • at worst, it makes you lean into legitimately villainous behavior
      • OTOH, skepticism is valuable, including skepticism of people's motives.
      • but it can be undesirable when someone is placed in a "no-win situation", where from their perspective "no matter what I do, nobody will believe that I mean well, or give me any credit for my good intentions."
      • if you appreciate people for their good intentions, sometimes that can be a means to encourage them to do more. it's not a guarantee, but it can be a starting point for building rapport and starting to persuade. people often want to live up to your good opinion of them.

links 10/25/24: https://roamresearch.com/#/app/srcpublic/page/10-25-2024

 

links 10/23/24:

https://roamresearch.com/#/app/srcpublic/page/10-23-2024

  • https://eukaryotewritesblog.com/2024/10/21/i-got-dysentery-so-you-dont-have-to/  personal experience at a human challenge trial, by the excellent Georgia Ray
  • https://catherineshannon.substack.com/p/the-male-mind-cannot-comprehend-the
    • I...guess this isn't wrong, but it's a kind of Take I've never been able to relate to myself. Maybe it's because I found Legit True Love at age 22, but I've never had that feeling of "oh no the men around me are too weak-willed" (not in my neck of the woods they're not!) or "ew they're too interested in going to the gym" (gym rats are fine? it's a hobby that makes you good-looking, I'm on board with this) or "they're not attentive and considerate enough" (often a valid complaint, but typically I'm the one who's too hyperfocused on my own work & interests) or "they're too show-offy" (yeah it's irritating in excess but a little bit of show-off energy is enlivening).
    • Look: you like Tony Soprano because he's competent and lives by a code? But you don't like it when a real-life guy is too competitive, intense, or off doing his own thing? I'm sorry, but that's not how things work.
      • Tony Soprano can be light-hearted and always have time for the women around him because he is a fictional character. In real life, being good at stuff takes work and is sometimes stressful.
      • My husband is, in fact, very close to this "Tony Soprano" ideal -- assertive, considerate, has "boyish charm", lives by a "code", is competent at lots of everyday-life things but isn't too busy for me -- and I guarantee you would not have thought to date him because he's also nerdy and argumentative and wouldn't fit in with the yuppie crowd.
      • Also like. This male archetype is a guy who fixes things for you and protects you and makes you feel good. In real life? Those guys get sad that they're expected to give, give, give and nobody cares about their feelings. I haven't watched The Sopranos but my understanding is that Tony is in therapy because the strain of this life is getting to him. This article doesn't seem to have a lot of empathy with what it's like to actually be Tony...and you probably should, if you want to marry him.
  • https://fas.org/publication/the-magic-laptop-thought-experiment/ from Tom Kalil, a classic: how to think about making big dreams real.
  • https://paulgraham.com/yahoo.html Paul Graham's business case studies!
  • https://substack.com/home/post/p-150520088 a celebratory reflection on the recent Progress Conference. Yes, it was that good.
  • https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hecuba  in some tellings (not Homer's), Hecuba turns into a dog from grief at the death of her son.
  • https://www.librariesforthefuture.bio/p/lff
    • a framework for thinking about aging: "1st gen" is delaying aging, which is where the field started (age1, metformin, rapamycin), while "2nd gen" is pausing (stasis), repairing (reprogramming), or replacing (transplanting), cells/tissues. 2nd gen usually uses less mature technologies (eg cell therapy, regenerative medicine), but may have a bigger and faster effect size.
    • "function, feeling, and survival" are the endpoints that matter.
      • biomarkers are noisy and speculative early proxies that we merely hope will translate to a truly healthier life for the elderly. apply skepticism.
  • https://substack.com/home/post/p-143303463 I always like what Maxim Raginsky has to say. you can't do AI without bumping into the philosophy of how to interpret what it's doing.

I don't think it was articulated quite right -- it's more negative than my overall stance (I wrote it when unhappy) and a little too short-termist.

I do still believe that the future is unpredictable, that we should not try to "constrain" or "bind" all of humanity forever using authoritarian means, and that there are many many fates worse than death and we should not destroy everything we love for "brute" survival.

And, also, I feel that transience is normal and only a bit sad. It's good to save lives, but mortality is pretty "priced in" to my sense of how the world works. It's good to work on things that you hope will live beyond you, but Dark Ages and collapses are similarly "priced in" as normal for me. Sara Teasdale: "You say there is no love, my love, unless it lasts for aye; Ah folly, there are episodes far better than the play!" If our days are as a passing shadow, that's not that bad; we're used to it.

I worry that people who are not ok with transience may turn themselves into monsters so they can still "win" -- even though the meaning of "winning" is so changed it isn't worth it any more.

I thought about manually deleting them all but I don't feel like it.

links, 10/14/2024

  • https://milton.host.dartmouth.edu/reading_room/pl/book_1/text.shtml [[John Milton]]'s Paradise Lost, annotated online [[poetry]]
  • https://darioamodei.com/machines-of-loving-grace [[AI]] [[biotech]] [[Dario Amodei]] spends about half of this document talking about AI for bio, and I think it's the most credible "bull case" yet written for AI being radically transformative in the biomedical sphere.
    • one caveat is that I think if we're imagining a future with brain mapping, regeneration of macroscopic brain tissue loss, and understanding what brains are doing well enough to know why neurological abnormalities at the cell level produce the psychiatric or cognitive symptoms they do...then we probably can do brain uploading! it's really weird to single out this one piece as pie-in-the-sky science fiction when you're already imagining a lot of similarly ambitious things as achievable.
  • https://venture.angellist.com/eli-dourado/syndicate [[tech industry]] when [[Eli Dourado]] picks startups, they're at least not boring! i haven't vetted the technical viability of any of these, but he claims to do a lot of that sort of numbers-in-spreadsheets work.
  • https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/topics/shapley-values [[EA]] [[economics]] how do you assign credit (in a principled fashion) to an outcome that multiple people contributed to? Shapley values! It seems extremely hard to calculate in practice, and subject to contentious judgment calls about the assumptions you make, but maybe it's an improvement over raw handwaving.
  • https://gwern.net/maze [[Gwern Branwen]] digs up the "Mr. Young" studying maze-running techniques in [[Richard Feynman]]'s "Cargo Cult Science" speech. His name wasn't Young but Quin Fischer Curtis, and he was part of a psychology research program at UMich that published little and had little influence on the outside world, and so was "rebooted" and forgotten. Impressive detective work, though not a story with a very satisfying "moral".
  • https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cary_Elwes [[celebrities]] [[Cary Elwes]] had an ancestor who was [[Charles Dickens]]' inspiration for Ebenezer Scrooge!
  • https://feministkilljoys.com/2015/06/25/against-students/ [[politics]] an old essay by [[Sara Ahmed]] in defense of trigger warnings in the classroom and in general against the accusations that "students these days" are oversensitive and illiberal.
    • She's doing an interesting thing here that I haven't wrapped my head around. She's not making the positive case "students today are NOT oversensitive or illiberal" or "trigger warnings are beneficial," even though she seems to believe both those things. she's more calling into question "why has this complaint become a common talking point? what unstated assumptions does it perpetuate?" I am not sure whether this is a valid approach that's alternate to the forms of argument I'm more used to, or a sign of weakness (a thing she's doing only because she cannot make the positive case for the opposite of what her opponents claim.)
  • https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10080017/ [[cancer]][[medicine]] [[biology]] cancer preventatives are an emerging field
    • NSAIDS and omega-3 fatty acids prevent 95% of tumors in a tumor-prone mouse strain?!
    • also we're targeting [[STAT3]] now?! that's a thing we're doing.
      • ([[STAT3]] is a major oncogene but it's a transcription factor, it lives in the cytoplasm and the nucleus, this is not easy to target with small molecules like a cell surface protein.)
  • https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/CLARITY [[biotech]] make a tissue sample transparent so you can make 3D microscopic imaging, with contrast from immunostaining or DNA/RNA labels
  • https://distill.pub/2020/circuits/frequency-edges/ [[AI]] [[neuroscience]] a type of neuron in vision neural nets, the "high-low frequency detector", has recently also been found to be a thing in literal mouse brain neurons (h/t [[Dario Amodei]]) https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10055119/
  • https://mosaicmagazine.com/essay/israel-zionism/2024/10/the-failed-concepts-that-brought-israel-to-october-7/ [[politics]][[Israel]][[war]] an informative and sober view on "what went wrong" leading up to Oct 7
    • tl;dr: Hamas consistently wants to destroy Israel and commit violence against Israelis, they say so repeatedly, and there was never going to be a long-term possibility of living peacefully side-by-side with them; Netanyahu is a tough talker but kind of a procrastinator who's kicked the can down the road on national security issues for his entire career; catering to settlers is not in the best interests of Israel as a whole (they provoke violence) but they are an unduly powerful voting bloc; Palestinian misery is real but has been institutionalized by the structure of the Gazan state and the UN which prevents any investment into a real local economy; the "peace process" is doomed because Israel keeps offering peace and the Palestinians say no to any peace that isn't the abolition of the State of Israel.
    • it's pretty common for reasonable casual observers (eg in America) to see Israel/Palestine as a tragic conflict in which probably both parties are somewhat in the wrong, because that's a reasonable prior on all conflicts. The more you dig into the details, though, the more you realize that "let's live together in peace and make concessions to Palestinians as necessary" has been the mainstream Israeli position since before 1948. It's not a symmetric situation.
  • [[von Economo neurons]] are spooky [[neuroscience]] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Von_Economo_neuron
    • only found in great apes, cetaceans, and humans
    • concentrated in the [[anterior cingulate cortex]] and [[insular cortex]] which are closely related to the "sense of self" (i.e. interoception, emotional salience, and the perception that your e.g. hand is "yours" and it was "you" who moved it)
    • the first to go in [[frontotemporal dementia]]
    • https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-020-14952-3 we don't know where they project to! they are so big that we haven't tracked them fully!
    • https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3953677/
  • https://www.wired.com/story/lee-holloway-devastating-decline-brilliant-young-coder/ the founder of Cloudflare had [[frontotemporal dementia]] [[neurology]]
  • [[frontotemporal dementia]] is maybe caused by misfolded proteins being passed around neuron-to-neuron, like prion disease! [[neurology]]

Therefore, do things you'd be in favor of having done even if the future will definitely suck. Things that are good today, next year, fifty years from now... but not like "institute theocracy to raise birth rates", which is awful today even if you think it might "save the world".

Load More