This problem seems to have an obvious "shut up and multiply" answer (take the deal), but our normal intuitions scream out against it. We can easily imagine some negligible chance of living through the next hour, but we just can't imagine trusting some dude enough to take that chance, or (properly) a period longer than some large epoch time.

Since our inability to properly grok these elements of the problem is the fulcrum on which our difficulty balances it seems more reasonable than usual to question Omega & her claims.

(This problem seems as easy to me as specks vs torture: in both cases you need to shut up and multiply, and in both cases you need to quiet your screaming intuitions - they were trained against different patterns.)