Technologos comments on Avoiding doomsday: a "proof" of the self-indication assumption - Less Wrong

18 Post author: Stuart_Armstrong 23 September 2009 02:54PM

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Comment author: Technologos 24 September 2009 06:40:48AM 0 points [-]

Wouldn't the principle be independent of the form of the observer? If we said "universes with many human observers are more likely than universes with few," the logic would apply just as well as with matter-based observers or observers defined as mutual-information-formers.

Comment author: SilasBarta 24 September 2009 04:34:59PM 0 points [-]

If we said "universes with many human observers are more likely than universes with few," the logic would apply just as well as with matter-based observers or observers defined as mutual-information-formers.

But why is the assumption that universes with human observers are more likely (than those with few) plausible or justifiable? That's a fundamentally different claim!

Comment author: Technologos 24 September 2009 09:00:17PM 0 points [-]

I agree that it's a different claim, and not the one I was trying to make. I was just noting that however one defines "observer," the SIA would suggest that such observers should be many. Thus, I don't think that the SIA is inserting a hidden assumption about the type of observers we are discussing.

Comment author: SilasBarta 24 September 2009 09:05:53PM 1 point [-]

Right, but my point was that your definition of observer has a big impact on your SIA's plausibility. Yes, universes with observers in the general sense are more likely, but why universes with more human observers?

Comment author: Technologos 24 September 2009 09:51:56PM 0 points [-]

Why would being human change the calculus of the SIA? According to its logic, if a universe only has more human observers, there are still more opportunities for me to exist, no?

Comment author: SilasBarta 24 September 2009 10:01:42PM 0 points [-]

My point was that the SIA(human) is less plausible, meaning you shouldn't base conclusions on it, not that the resulting calculus (conditional on its truth) would be different.

Comment author: Technologos 25 September 2009 04:59:06AM 0 points [-]

That's what I meant, though: you don't calculate the probability of SIA(human) any differently than you would for any other category of observer.