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JenniferRM comments on Hamster in Tutu Shuts Down Large Hadron Collider - Less Wrong
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One thing you could do is make a probability estimate now and see how well calibrated you are :-)
http://predictionbook.com/predictions/663
I actually think insect infestation or delay caused by criminal arrest are so unlikely that I would estimate them at a 0% probability on prediction book.
Lol. My facetious suggestions are always taken so seriously.