Daniel_Burfoot comments on Against picking up pennies - Less Wrong

-1 [deleted] 13 December 2009 06:07AM

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Comment author: Daniel_Burfoot 15 December 2009 02:02:39PM 0 points [-]

I find this comment confusing. Represent a plan as a list of discrete actions. Then "X,Y" is different from "X,Y,Z" where X/Y/Z are actions. Picking "X,Y,Z" means you did not pick "X,Y". The number of plans is also exponential in the number of actions, so a more complex (longer) plan has an exponentially greater number of competitors.

Comment author: [deleted] 16 December 2009 05:58:08PM 0 points [-]

You defined a plan as a theory that a certain course of action will lead to a good outcome. Picking "X,Y,Z" does not mean you don't think "X,Y" will also lead to a good outcome. Therefore, they aren't really competitors.